The Ledger
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Labenz: Tool-Equipped Next-Gen AI Models Will Resemble Superintelligence
“When we start to give the next generation of the model these power tools, and they start to solve previously unsolved engineering problems, I think you start to have something that looks kind of like super intelligence.”
Labenz: AI will outperform average developers on standard apps within five years
“But I would be very surprised if you can't get your nuts and bolts Web app, mobile app type things spit out for you for far less and far faster than, and probably honestly with significantly higher quality and less back and forth with an AI system than, you kn…”
Labenz: AI customer service agents will cause significant headcount reductions
“So I don't think these things go to zero probably in a lot of environments, but I do expect that you will see significant headcount reduction in a lot of these”
Labenz: Existing AI capabilities could automate 50-80% of work in 5-10 years
“I think if progress stopped today, I still think we could get to 50 to 80% of work automated over the next, like, five to 10 years.”
Labenz: AI agent task capacity will reach two weeks within two years
“If you extrapolate that out a bit and you're like, okay, take, take the four month case just to be a little aggressive. That's three doublings a year. That's eight X task length increase per year. That would mean you go from two hours now to two days. In one y…”
Labenz: Non-text AI modalities will unify with language models over time
“We have seen this play out with text and image where you had your text only models and you had your image only models, and then they started to come together and now they've come really deeply together. And so I think you're going to see that across a lot of o…”