The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Contradicted
Paulus: One-third of all Bitcoin ever mined is lost
“Something like one third of every Bitcoin ever mind is, is now lost.”
Mike Paulus Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 7:10 a16z Podcast | Reinventing Insurance
Assertion Supported
Paulus: Google, Volvo, and Mercedes accept self-driving liability
“Google Volvo and Mercedes have all said that for their cars, while they're in assault driving mode, they have the liability”
Mike Paulus Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 14:22 a16z Podcast | Reinventing Insurance
Insight
Paulus: Insurance is the original big data problem
“I think the really interesting thing about insurance is it's the first big data problem.”
Mike Paulus Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 2:31 a16z Podcast | Reinventing Insurance
Assertion Contradicted
Paulus: Drone sales surpassed Apple Watches at Christmas 2015
“More men bought drones than I watches for Christmas.”
Mike Paulus Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 6:56 a16z Podcast | Reinventing Insurance
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Paulus: Cyber coverage will be most critical auto insurance for self-driving cars
“If my car drives itself, then that cyber policy is going to be the most important form of auto insurance that I have.”
Mike Paulus Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 10:05 a16z Podcast | Reinventing Insurance
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Paulus: Winning insurance companies will focus on risk prevention over payouts
“And I think that the insurance companies that, that win in the, in, in, in the next century, we will be those insure least and that they pay the most claims or they pay the fewest claims rather, and they're the most preventive.”
Mike Paulus Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 12:50 a16z Podcast | Reinventing Insurance
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Paulus: Ridesharing platforms will deliver self-driving cars to mass market first
“Services like Lyft and Uber which will likely be the first delivery mechanism on the, for the mass market for self-driving cars.”
Mike Paulus Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 14:22 a16z Podcast | Reinventing Insurance
Assertion Supported
Paulus: ZhongAn raised $1B at an $8B valuation backed by Alibaba
“I think another really interesting company that's flown under the radar a little bit is, is on on, and that's an insurance company backed by Alibaba and Tencent that's raised almost a billion dollars. And an eight billion dollar valuation, which would make it …”
Mike Paulus Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 21:20 a16z Podcast | Reinventing Insurance
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