The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up
Hearn: Reaching Bitcoin capacity limits will kick users out of the system
“At worst, things break quite badly, but even at best, even if things don't break, some users won't be able to use Bitcoin, right? They will be kicked out of the system, effectively. There won't be enough capacity to handle them.”
Mike Hearn Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 3:22 a16z Podcast | Bitcoin's Growing Pains -- and Possibilities
Prediction Held up
Hearn: Bitcoin will hit its 1MB block size limit next year
“And we're now at more like half of that block size, and it, you know, as traffic is growing, it looks like we might start hitting that limit sometime next year.”
Mike Hearn Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 2:10 a16z Podcast | Bitcoin's Growing Pains -- and Possibilities
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Hearn: M-Pesa succeeded by bypassing Western anti-money laundering requirements
“M-Pesa was partly successful because it sort of ignored all of the Western anti-money laundering requirements and so on. Like you can just have a SIM card and start sending money, right, with M-Pesa in Kenya. You don't need to have a passport and, you know, an…”
Mike Hearn Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 19:00 a16z Podcast | Bitcoin's Growing Pains -- and Possibilities
Assertion Supported
Hearn: Satoshi named Gavin Andresen successor before Core maintainership passed to Wladimir van der Laan
“So when Satoshi left, he nominated Gavin Anderson as the, as his successor. And Gavin was maintainer of Bitcoin Core for a while, and then he delegated that again to Vladimir Vandalan.”
Mike Hearn Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 2:27 a16z Podcast | Bitcoin's Growing Pains -- and Possibilities
Assertion Supported
Hearn: Satoshi omitted Bitcoin's scripting language from white paper and emails
“For a long time, you know, for a long time it wasn't very well known, because Satoshi's white paper didn't mention it, and he didn't talk about it in, you know, his mailing list post either.”
Mike Hearn Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 7:17 a16z Podcast | Bitcoin's Growing Pains -- and Possibilities
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Hearn: M-Pesa cannot support cross-border transactions, creating opportunity for Bitcoin
“The moment they want to trade across borders, systems like Impeza don't even work either. So there's a real niche, well, not even a niche, right? There's a real serious need for many people that Bitcoin can meet there.”
Mike Hearn Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 20:31 a16z Podcast | Bitcoin's Growing Pains -- and Possibilities
Assertion Supported
Hearn: Satoshi set Bitcoin's 1MB limit when blocks were under 10KB
“He imposed a maximum one megabyte block size, and as there's one block every 10 minutes on average, that's, you know, you can calculate a maximum transaction rate from that. And at the time he put it in, we were around, you know, less than 10 kilobytes per blo…”
Mike Hearn Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 1:55 a16z Podcast | Bitcoin's Growing Pains -- and Possibilities
Assertion Supported
Hearn: Lighthouse pledges stay under user control until target is met
“Lighthouse is a completely peer-to-peer and Decentralized approach. So you can actually pledge money to a project in such a way that it stays under your control until the moment that the project has raised the full amount.”
Mike Hearn Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 6:04 a16z Podcast | Bitcoin's Growing Pains -- and Possibilities
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