why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Scott: OpenAI is by far Microsoft's most important AI partner
“I think if you think about AI, like, by far, in a way, the most important partner we have is is OpenAI.”
Opinion
Smartphones did not significantly boost knowledge worker productivity
“I don't think the smartphone helped much at all just in terms of productivity and knowledge work.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Scott: Meta's Llama 2 will be a key building block for AI software
“I think Lama too is just like Lama going to be an important building block that people are going to want to use to build AI software.”
Insight
Scott: Platform breakthroughs take years to emerge after initial release
“The most valuable things that get done on the platforms are not the things that got deployed in the first year or two of the platform change.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
GitHub Copilot's primary benefit is keeping developers in a flow state
“The thing that it really does in our observation with developers more than anything else is it helps keep them in flow state. Longer than they otherwise would.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Kevin Scott: Human brain is orders of magnitude more efficient than AI
“We have proof points of, you know, a sort of a 20 watt organ that you know, sits between our ears that, that is artificial general intelligence that is many, many, many orders of magnitude more efficient than the Digital artificial neural networks that we're b…”
Insight
Kevin Scott: An AI model is not a standalone product
“Like AI is, Like, model's not a product. Like your understanding as an entrepreneur of, like, you know, who is your user? Like, what is their problem? Like, what can you do to help them? And then, like, determining whether or not this AI stuff is actually a us…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Microsoft gets requests for GPUs almost every hour of the day
“It's you know, hours in the day that go by where someone's not asking for GPUs is almost non-existent.”