The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Josh Bloom: Data-driven approaches do not require prior theory to predict outcomes
“Well, the point is, and this is sort of the conceit of all data-driven approaches, is that you don't need to have a theory about why something's gonna happen. The idea is that you've got enough data, both in, in terms of the number of examples, and then also s…”
Bloom: Machine learning must focus on real-time future data over history
“In some sense that's the greatest imperative and like the gauntlet that I lay down in front of anyone is that you're not doing machine learning because it's cool and it's fun and you can learn something about the data from the past. You're trying to really use…”
Bloom: Machine learning software acts like virtualized graduate students at scale
“Because the software exists that can actually sift through and look at that data as if it's, you know, essentially virtualized graduate students with a huge amount of domain knowledge, and do this at scale it allows you to take more and more data.”