The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Not checkable as stated
Machine Learning Tools Have Neglected Time Series Data
“Now you're getting into some interesting, ah, places where machine learning hasn't spent a lot of time, which is on time series data. And what we wound up realizing in our own, sort of, domain specific research is that there weren't a lot of tools for us from …”
Josh Bloom Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 3:43 Supernovas and Novel Insight: Where Machine Learning is Headed Next
Assertion Supported
Bloom: ML model detected supernova in 11 hours, driving Nature publications
“So one of the great things is our, ah, machine learning algorithm and framework wound up finding a new supernova that was in a very nearby galaxy. And because it was found about 11 hours after explosion, which were days earlier than had ever been found for tha…”
Josh Bloom Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 6:58 Supernovas and Novel Insight: Where Machine Learning is Headed Next
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Josh Bloom: Real-time astronomy ML know-how directly transfers to enterprise problems
“The actual insight that we wind up sort of learning how to do with astronomy data in real time on noisy streaming data is exactly that sort of same know-how that we wind up applying to more of these conventional problems.”
Josh Bloom Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 10:56 Supernovas and Novel Insight: Where Machine Learning is Headed Next
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bloom: Machine learning's destiny is personalized models for everyone
“The manifest destiny is everybody has their own machine learning models built upon their own past behavior, perhaps leveraging some of the insights that you wind up getting from the whole system.”
Josh Bloom Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 11:54 Supernovas and Novel Insight: Where Machine Learning is Headed Next
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bloom: Future software buyers will purchase products with embedded AI
“In the future people are just going to be buying products where machine learning and machine intelligence are baked in.”
Josh Bloom Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 14:06 Supernovas and Novel Insight: Where Machine Learning is Headed Next
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Astronomical Image Subtraction Produces 1,000 False Alarms Per Discovery
“It's about a thousand bad candidates or bogus candidates, every one real one”
Josh Bloom Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 2:35 Supernovas and Novel Insight: Where Machine Learning is Headed Next
Assertion Contradicted
Bloom: Astronomy requirements drove early CCD development at Bell Labs
“Doing that directly with charged couple devices was one of the main, sort of, use cases of what drove CCD development, you know, at Bell Labs you know, sort of, 40 years ago.”
Josh Bloom Jul 15, 2017 ▶ 6:07 Supernovas and Novel Insight: Where Machine Learning is Headed Next
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