The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 14 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Citron: AI pipelines could shorten solo game development cycles to one year
“The next Stardew Valley might be built by one guy in a year.”
Jason Citrin Jun 23, 2024 ▶ 31:08 How Discord Became a Developer Platform
Assertion Supported
Jason Citron: Gaming is larger than music and movies combined
“Today in, in, in, 24, gaming is the largest form of entertainment. Bigger than music and movies combined.”
Jason Citrin Jun 23, 2024 ▶ 4:00 How Discord Became a Developer Platform
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Citrin: Gaming and social hangouts remain primary use case for Discord
“Throughout all of it, gaming and playing games with your friends and hanging out with your friends was always the main thing that people were doing, even if they would go spend time in a public community or, you know, futzing around with generative AI or somet…”
Jason Citrin Jun 23, 2024 ▶ 11:19 How Discord Became a Developer Platform
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Citron: Most Discord activity occurs in small groups under 15 people
“People mostly on Discord spend their time hanging out with their friends in these kind of smaller invite-only spaces with like, you know, less than 15 people per se.”
Jason Citrin Jun 23, 2024 ▶ 17:26 How Discord Became a Developer Platform
Assertion Supported
Midjourney's public Discord server has around 20 million users
“Yeah, I think their public server is, yeah, it's about that size. It's pretty large.”
Jason Citrin Jun 23, 2024 ▶ 26:55 How Discord Became a Developer Platform
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Citron: Game development will increasingly pivot toward niche topics and mechanics
“I think we're gonna start to see more and more games that are focused on more and more kind of niche topics and niche mechanics.”
Jason Citrin Jun 23, 2024 ▶ 30:34 How Discord Became a Developer Platform
Assertion Partly supported
Citron: Around 93% of Gen Z plays video games
“I think something like 93% of Gen Z plays games where”
Jason Citrin Jun 23, 2024 ▶ 4:13 How Discord Became a Developer Platform
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Citrin: Discord rebuilt core voice tech three times early on
“We had to rebuild, you know, the voice tech three times”
Jason Citrin Jun 23, 2024 ▶ 9:17 How Discord Became a Developer Platform
Disclosure
Discord built internal games for years to test its embedded app platform
“Rather than just opening it up, we actually built a few games ourselves to really test the platform, make sure that it was designed well, that it worked for players, that the interaction loops were good and that, you know, took a couple years to kind of sort t…”
Jason Citrin Jun 23, 2024 ▶ 20:40 How Discord Became a Developer Platform
Disclosure
Citron is building an arcade shooter to test Discord's platform
“I have, like, a small side project I'm working on right now, which is a game kind of like this. It's like a arcade shooter that has kind of a leaderboard mechanic, but with sort of like a modern kind of roguelike Vibe on it. Anyway, It's just like random stuff…”
Jason Citrin Jun 23, 2024 ▶ 23:15 How Discord Became a Developer Platform
Prediction Not publicly verifiable
Citron: Hundreds of Discord embedded apps will launch within eight months
“I suspect that there are probably, you know, 20,000 people poking around. I think there's thousands of them that are, like, actually really making something. And so, you know, I expect we'll probably see hundreds of those things come to market over the next si…”
Jason Citrin Jun 23, 2024 ▶ 36:06 How Discord Became a Developer Platform
Assertion Supported
Citron: Discord was built starting January 2015 and launched May 2015
“We started building it in January 2015, and then brought it to market in May 2015”
Jason Citrin Jun 23, 2024 ▶ 7:22 How Discord Became a Developer Platform
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Citrin: Discord originally capped group size at 30 to 50 users
“The max group size on Discord, I think, was like, 30 people. Maybe 50.”
Jason Citrin Jun 23, 2024 ▶ 10:22 How Discord Became a Developer Platform
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Citron: Early game dev required a week just to render a DirectX triangle
“If I was to go back, you know, when I was in college, which was almost 20 years ago now, like none of that stuff existed. And it was like, you know, firing up C++ and, Like reading the DirectX APIs and spending a week trying to get a window to open with a tria…”
Jason Citrin Jun 23, 2024 ▶ 1:45 How Discord Became a Developer Platform
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