The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Wilson: Big tech won't be significantly disrupted by AI
“I don't think that they were disrupted very much by the shift from web to mobile, and I don't think they're going to be disrupted very much by the adoption of AI power software.”
Wilson: Software revolution will unlock 10x to 1000x more value than manufacturing
“Total economic value that will be unlocked with the software revolution should be at least one, maybe two, maybe three orders of magnitude bigger than what we saw with manufacturing, automotive, you know, for the reasons you describe.”
Wilson: Cloud market will split to Amazon 60%, Google 30%, Microsoft 10%
“But I think it could be like Amazon has 60% of the market, Google has 30% of the market, and Microsoft has 10% of the market. I think it's gonna be a three player game in that business, and that's good.”
Wilson: Personal capital moved into crypto will never return to fiat
“Once my money gets into the crypto ecosystem, it's gonna stay in the crypto ecosystem. It might, you know, move like, I'm definitely gonna be playing around in all these networks and, you know, using them and staking and doing all this incredibly cool shit tha…”
Wilson: Crypto tokens will drive massive innovation in staking and governance
“I think that we're gonna see a lot of really innovative things being done with staking, because I think crypto tokens make staking super easy to do, and there are, like, I think Richard's idea is that if I can get data scientists to stake their models, to put …”