why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Chen: Autonomous EV fleets will drive most global miles within years
“In particular, I believe that in a handful of years, we're gonna be driven around in electric cars rather than driving around in our own gas-powered cars. In other words, most of the miles driven on the planet will shift to self-driving electric car fleets as …”
Assertion Contradicted
Chen: Bloomberg forecasts global petroleum demand will peak in 2020
“Bloomberg's forecasts, even off the more pessimistic IEA base, are that we're going to reach peak petroleum demand in 2020 and we're never going to look back. That between efficiency gains for existing gas-powered cars and the introduction of electric vehicles…”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Chen: Tesla Gigafactory will surpass pre-2013 global battery output by 2020
“When it's in full production in 2020, this Gigafactory will produce more batteries each year than were produced in the entire world cumulatively through 2013.”
Assertion Contradicted
Chen: Cows cause 17% of global greenhouse gas emissions
“17% of all greenhouse gas emissions are caused by cows burping and farting.”
Assertion Contradicted
Chen: Dyson committed £2 billion to launch an EV by 2020
“My favorite example of this is the British company Dyson, which is well known for its vacuum cleaners and bladeless fans. It's committed to launching a car by 20 20, has invested two billion pounds to date in bringing that car to market and has more than 400 p…”
Assertion Contradicted
Chen: Multiple nations have banned gas-powered car sales starting in 2025
“There are already a set of countries that have laws on the books that outright banned the sale of gas-powered cars. The Netherlands by 2025, also Norway, India by 2030, Scotland by 2032, and so on.”
Assertion Contradicted
Chen: Only Three Mapping Companies Remain Globally as of 2017
“There's three mapping companies left on the planet.”
Assertion Contradicted
Amazon hired 235,000 new employees in a single year despite heavy automation
“They've hired 235,000 people. Just think about that for a second. 235,000 people in the last year are new Amazon employees.”
Assertion Contradicted
Chen: Instacart cut order fulfillment time by 8% via machine learning
“So using a variety of machine learning techniques, they were able to shave eight percent of the time that it took for a shopper to get through a supermarket and to your house.”
Assertion Contradicted
Frank Chen: Nvidia attributes recent growth to autonomous car deep learning
“In fact, Nvidia attributes a lot of its recent growth and success as a business to this new line of business, which is providing deep learning systems for autonomous cars.”
Assertion Contradicted
Chen: GM Offers $2,500 Driver-Assist Package on $17,000 Cars
“That is a GM car. Just took it off their website. It's a 17,000 dollar car. For 2500 dollars, you can add self-driving capabilities. Emergency braking, lane keep adaptive cruise control, right?”