why aren't all 9 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Leibert: Traditional software operator roles will disappear over time
“So, I mean, I think the whole operator is going to go away over time, like with cloud, with tools like... Yeah, I think it's going to, I think, like, we're going to go towards a world where a lot of that stuff is autonomous.”
Opinion
Leibert: Automated systems make dedicated database administrators obsolete
“But if you have systems where a lot of the recovery of failures is actually built in, and the level of automation is really high, you actually don't need these DBAs anymore sitting around and screwing stuff up.”
Opinion
Leibert: Writing Visual Basic is more joyful than writing Go applications
“And frankly, it's more joyful to write Visual Basic than it is to write Go, right? That you actually achieve Business results. I mean, seriously, right? Like, writing a Spark job, you see the output right away, whereas if you write a large Go application, I me…”
Prediction Open · timeframe Mar 2038
Leibert: Mainframes will remain core enterprise infrastructure for 20 to 30 years
“So I think we're not going to see a rip and replace. I think we're going to see more and more systems built around the old systems. And for some of the core infrastructure, I think even in 20 or 30 years, we'll still have mainframes.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Liebert: Data centers will move to plug-and-play pooled chip architectures
“We're going to see plug and play Data centers where you can just add chips, remove chips, and they're just added to the pool.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Liebert: Compute infrastructure will shift to dynamic job-based pricing
“And I think as we see that with more and more companies evolving, we, we're going to be We're going to be pricing jobs, individual compute jobs, rather than just providing a static pool of resources. I think that's where we're going clearly.”
Assertion Supported
Liebert: Enterprise data centers are undergoing a tectonic shift to Linux
“We're seeing this tectonic shift right now in data centers from Windows over to Linux.”
Insight
Liebert: Open-source companies can monetize by building superior user experience
“And I think where we can provide additional value that we can charge for is in, in making this open source easier to use. And coming from companies like Airbnb and Twitter, where UX is, is really essential, I think we can apply the same to open source, and I t…”
Assertion Supported
Liebert: Google cgroups provided the foundation for Docker containerization
“The roots there are actually, well, the roots lie actually at Google. So, four or five years ago, Google contributed, ah, cgroups to the Linux kernel. And cgroups are the foundation for what is now Docker, right?”