why aren't all 11 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Ezra Klein: Mismeasurement cannot explain the economic productivity slowdown
“So what I'm saying is that You can imagine a world where we're having tremendous productivity increases that are not being tracked. What you would imagine to see in that world, though, is the reason we care about productivity increases is that they grow the ec…”
Insight
Klein: Software alone fails without full-stack startup workflow reengineering
“One thing that we, I think, have found is that inventing cool new software actually is not the answer. That in order for a lot of these cool new software companies to begin to change their markets, workflow is much, much tougher than people realize. And so the…”
Opinion
Ezra Klein: U.S. should dramatically increase immigration inflows
“I don't just think we want to reform the immigration system. I don't just think we want to find a way to create a path to citizenship for unauthorized immigrants, but I think we really want to increase flows to this country by a quite large amount.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Klein: Ambitious Republicans will adopt a professionalized version of Trumpism
“There are going to be people who look at this and the next round of ambitious young Republican politicians, and they're going to take parts of Trumpism without Trump, right? They're going to professionalize it. They're going to do it in a way that it is more a…”
Insight
Klein: Trump proved media coverage volume matters far more than tone
“So Trump's innovation, so far as there is one, is that valence of media coverage doesn't really matter. It's not how it, what matters is not what how the media covers you. It's whether the media covers you. And he's willing to absorb a tremendous amount of inc…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Klein: Off-platform distribution on Facebook and Snapchat will choke off innovation
“And as that happens, as we have less control over the platforms on which we publish, I actually do worry about the way it will choke off innovation.”
Insight
Klein: Institutional authority makes iterative learning in journalism harder
“As my career has progressed, now I run Vox I have to write in a way where the writing has to have more authority to it. I can't just be wrong all the time. Or if I am wrong, it has to be wrong in socially acceptable, reputational protecting ways. And that's ac…”
Opinion
Ezra Klein admits early commentary on the Iraq War was disastrously wrong
“Early on, I was writing, as a lot of people were back then, about the Iraq war, and my opinions on that were disastrously wrong and bad.”
Assertion Supported
Ezra Klein: No congressional Democrats are more conservative than any Republicans
“Now there are zero crossovers like that. So there's zero Democrats now who are more conservative than any congressional Republicans.”
Assertion Supported
Ezra Klein: Adult diapers now outsell children's diapers in Japan
“If you read these things like in Japan, adult diapers are now outselling children's diapers.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Klein: Vox reached 99 million Facebook video views in February 2016
“We had ninety-nine million Facebook video plays in, what was it, February.”