why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Dorado: A two-kilogram drone causes human injury once per 187M flight hours
“And for a two kilogram drone, I think we found that there might be a human injury once every hundred eighty seven million years.”
Assertion Contradicted
Dorado: Drone collision risk with commercial jets is once per 41B hours
“And then if you look at commercial jets, it's even smaller. I mean, it's, I think I got, I think the last number that we got was forty one billion years of continuous operation which is, you know, three times the Age of the universe.”
What-if
Dorado: Early internet program managers would have permitted commercial use initially
“If they knew where we were today, they would have allowed Commercial use from the inception.”
Prediction Held up
Dorado: FAA permanent commercial drone rules will be released in June 2016
“They're still not out, but they're coming. It'll probably be sometime next month. There will be some permanent commercial drone rules.”
Assertion Supported
Dorado: Hollywood film productions used commercial drones before it was legal
“What's interesting to me about the Hollywood application is that they actually were some of the earliest adopters, and they adopted it even before it was legal for them to do so.”
Assertion Supported
Dorado: Fewer than half of US consumer drones were registered in 2016
“I think there's something like a million plus consumer drones, and only 400,000 have registered.”
Assertion Supported
Dorado: Under federal statute, paper airplanes are legally classified as aircraft
“Under federal statute, paper airplanes are aircraft.”
Assertion Supported
Dorado: Pilot error causes 75% of general aviation accidents
“In general aviation, something like three quarters of all accidents are pilot error in, in commercial aviation. I think it's about half.”