The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gil: Most current crypto projects will go to zero
“Most crypto projects from today are going to go to zero. There's a few that are going to be incredibly valuable and already are, and that's going to grow, but I think most are going to go to zero.”
Elad Gil Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 27:30 a16z Podcast | High Growth in Companies (and Tech)
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gil: Premature crypto ideas will become amazing within 15 years
“Yeah, I think we're going to see the same thing in crypto where there's all these ideas that are early and there's no infrastructure and in 15 years they're going to be amazing.”
Elad Gil Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 28:14 a16z Podcast | High Growth in Companies (and Tech)
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gil: Lifespan extension could lock in power structures and hurt global self-renewal
“It does lock in societal structures, and it does lock in power structures, and so from that perspective, one can argue that it could really hurt self-renewal in a global system”
Elad Gil Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 32:59 a16z Podcast | High Growth in Companies (and Tech)
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Gil: Dozen billion-dollar companies will be created by API-ifying internal software
“I still think there's a dozen billion dollar plus companies to be created where you're just taking something that everybody's building internally over and over again, and you're just turning it into an API.”
Elad Gil Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 25:07 a16z Podcast | High Growth in Companies (and Tech)
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