The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Field: Foundational AI models will eventually become commoditized
“On the question of sort of stars versus incumbents, it's hard to believe that Foundational models won't get commoditized, but I'm definitely being, I'm willing to be proven wrong there. But it does seem like, you know, over time, this should be something that …”
Dylan Field Sep 25, 2023 ▶ 15:25 Democratizing Design with Figma's Dylan Field
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dylan Field: Fully autonomous AI coding remains a long way off
“We're not at full self-driving for code yet. Perhaps one day we will get there, but I think we're still a long ways off right now.”
Dylan Field Sep 25, 2023 ▶ 11:27 Democratizing Design with Figma's Dylan Field
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Field: Code-based AI models will generate UI designs better than diffusion
“One outcome might be that we find more success with models that are similar to CodePilot than you do with like a diffusion model, for example, when you're trying to figure out how do you actually create designs using AI systems.”
Dylan Field Sep 25, 2023 ▶ 12:17 Democratizing Design with Figma's Dylan Field
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Field: AI will lower the floor and raise the ceiling for design
“AI will make it so that all of us are able to do more design work in the first place. So lower the floor. For who's able to participate in the design process, but it also raised the ceiling of what you can actually do.”
Dylan Field Sep 25, 2023 ▶ 2:54 Democratizing Design with Figma's Dylan Field
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