The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Radiant will achieve reactor criticality and 700°C operations by 2026
“Since 2020, we've been on target for going there by 20, 26, and then we'll go critical. The system is designed to go to over 700 degrees Celsius, and then we'll run for 150 hours continuously.”
Doug Bernauer Aug 4, 2026 ▶ 8:32 The Nuclear Renaissance - Radiant |  a16z American Dynamism
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bernauer: Mass-produced micro-reactors will enable interstellar human travel
“Nuclear micro-reactors that are mass-produced, that are reliable in the most wild scenario enables humans to leave the star that we were born at, the sun, and go to other ones.”
Doug Bernauer Aug 4, 2026 ▶ 12:16 The Nuclear Renaissance - Radiant |  a16z American Dynamism
Prediction Open · timeframe Dec 2026
Bernauer: Radiant targets 2026 field demonstration for microreactor
“Our timeline has not changed since we started the company in twenty-twenty. We want to do a field demonstration in twenty-twenty-six.”
Doug Bernauer Mar 18, 2024 ▶ 28:32 A Nuclear Comeback: Are New Reactors the Answer?
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Bernauer: Nuclear energy will leapfrog natural gas
“Natural gas, which I agree with Dr. Huff the low cost of it definitely caused us to adopt that, to fill that need, rather than nuclear, but I think nuclear can leapfrog it.”
Doug Bernauer Mar 18, 2024 ▶ 4:34 A Nuclear Comeback: Are New Reactors the Answer?
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