why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Beck: DoD has procurement authority; culture is the real bottleneck
“We actually have all the authorities that we need right now. And we can do it. The issue is by far more one of culture.”
Disclosure
Beck: Special ops was his most innovative workplace, standard military his least
“The most innovative place that I've ever worked in my entire life was actually a joint special operations task force downrange. And the least innovative place that I've ever worked in my entire life is also, was also with my uniform on.”
Insight
Beck: Avoiding Procurement Risks Increases Operational Risks to Military Forces
“And I think we need to take that to the problem that we're, the problems that we're trying to solve here, because at the end of the day, what we've all got to do is we've got to find ways to take on more of the kinds of risks that are financial risks, process …”
Disclosure
Beck: 15% of DIU work goes to traditional defense primes
“DIU does about 15% of its work with primes and works with startups and works with everybody in between.”
Assertion Supported
Beck: Commercial tech moves faster than defense in 11 of 14 DoD tech areas
“In 11 of the 14 areas we track as the department, things like artificial intelligence, biotechnology autonomy energy the pace of change in those spaces is, is, and frankly likely always will be faster in some of those spaces than it is in a purely bespoke defe…”
Assertion Supported
Beck: Pentagon Replicator program on track to deliver in 18-24 months
“Today speaking here at the conference that the deputy mentioned, we are on track. To deliver that capability within that time frame, and that's 18 to 24 months, something that ordinarily would take three or four years.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Beck: Drone tech in Ukraine requires updates every three months
“The pace of change is three months or less in terms of effectiveness and need to be able to, for example, evolve the UAS systems, those unmanned systems because of what's happening in the electronic warfare environment around them.”
What-if
Beck: Current defense procurement system would not be designed today
“If we were designing a defense procurement system from scratch today, we would not design the one that we have.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Doug Beck: Capital and founder interest are no longer defense tech bottlenecks
“Now there's a ton of capital and a ton of interest and a lot of people who really want to be part of this. So we've really reached a tipping point on that, but we still have a long way to go on taking some of what Brian was just talking about really to the nex…”
Insight
Beck: Deterrence and operational impact are the only defense metrics that matter
“We have to shift now to the output metric which is, have we meaningfully changed our RO plans or the adversaries? Have we meaningfully changed the deterrence options? Have we meaningfully put the warfighter in a position to deter that major conflict or win a f…”