The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Costolo: AI will replace human-only medical diagnosis within ten years
“Healthcare, we're going to look back 10 years from now and go, oh my god, we let humans who had only seen four cases of this decide what to do next instead of running it through, you know, here are the symptoms and evaluating against terabytes of historical da…”
Dick Costolo Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 9:17 a16z Podcast | Improv'ing Leadership
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Costolo: AI recommendations will outperform human judgment when they disagree
“There are going to be lots of cases of, in specific domains of, it did this thing a human would never do, and there will be lots of machine learning examples of, well, the machine thinks we should do X, and the people think we should do Y, but the machines wil…”
Dick Costolo Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 10:10 a16z Podcast | Improv'ing Leadership
Assertion Partly supported
Costolo: Twitter partnered with Google to bypass Egypt's Arab Spring shutdown
“Egypt, you know, during the Arab Spring, we sort of started in Tunisia with people organizing protests on Twitter, and they were able to organize protests on Twitter because they were writing under pseudonyms and not, you know, their actual names, so people we…”
Dick Costolo Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 13:28 a16z Podcast | Improv'ing Leadership
Assertion Supported
Dick Costolo worked as unpaid technical consultant on HBO's Silicon Valley
“I contacted the HBO folks who were doing the TV show Silicon Valley and said, hey, I want to come work on Silicon Valley, and the CEO of HBO, Richard Pepler, said, well, we need a, like, technical consultant, but, like, we can't, like, pay you to do it. And I …”
Dick Costolo Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 0:52 a16z Podcast | Improv'ing Leadership
Assertion Partly supported
Costolo trained in same Second City improv group as Steve Carell
“I remember I got there my first day, and you're doing the Second City Training Center, and Steve Carell and I and Rachel Dratch were all in the same group, so he and I and Rachel know each other from, like, God, 30 years ago now.”
Dick Costolo Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 2:50 a16z Podcast | Improv'ing Leadership
Assertion Partly supported
Costolo: Twitter took seven years to hit $16, one day to $47
“So we're doing our IPO for Twitter in November, 2013, and it took us like seven years to get to 16 dollars a share. And then it took us Two weeks to get to 26 dollars a share, and then a day to get to 47 dollars a share.”
Dick Costolo Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 12:17 a16z Podcast | Improv'ing Leadership
Assertion Partly supported
Costolo: Twitter priced its IPO at $16 before hitting $47
“The night of the IPO, you know, the stock was at, like, 47, and we had priced it at 16 on the S-One, like, two weeks earlier”
Dick Costolo Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 1:54 a16z Podcast | Teams, Trust, and Object Lessons
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