The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 2 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Open · timeframe Feb 2027
Solomon: Federal Reserve will likely execute only a couple more rate cuts
“That doesn't mean I think we're going to see many more rate cuts, but we're probably going to see a couple more.”
David Solomon Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 16:53 Ben Horowitz and David Solomon: The Sweetest Macro Spot in 40 Years
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Solomon: Goldman Sachs balance sheet must reach $3.5T when JPMorgan hits $6T
“At the moment, JP Morgan has a four and a half trillion dollar balance sheet. When JP Morgan's six, we're gonna have to be at least three and a half. You know, at least three and a half.”
David Solomon Feb 2, 2026 ▶ 7:58 Ben Horowitz and David Solomon: The Sweetest Macro Spot in 40 Years
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