why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: US will lose AI race to China under pre-approval regulations
“And I think we will lose the AI race to countries like China if, You know, if this is the set of rules that we have.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: AI doomerism narrative will be discredited within a few years
“I suspect that's where we'll be with AI dumerism in a few years, but in the meantime, it's a really good narrative to kind of take the place of the climate dumerism.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: AI will boost human productivity rather than eliminate jobs
“I just think that this is going to be a very synergistic tool for a long time. I don't think it's going to wipe out human, human jobs. I don't think the need for human Cognition is going away. It's something that, you know, we'll, we'll all use to kind of get …”
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2030
Sacks: US will eventually pass federal AI regulatory preemption
“I think we will eventually get some federal preemption, and I think the question will just again be whether we preempt heavy or preempt light.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Sacks: Nuclear power for data centers will take five to ten years
“Nuclear is going to take five or 10 years. It's just not something that we're going to be able to do in the next two or three years”
Prediction Open · timeframe Nov 2030
Sacks: US Senate will pass the Clarity Act crypto bill
“I think that we will get the Clarity Act done. Like you mentioned, it passed the House with about 300 votes, about 78 Democrats. So it was substantially bipartisan. I think it will ultimately where it's now going through the Senate. I think it will ultimately …”