The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Didn’t hold up
Postma: Social media will integrate AI clothing try-ons within years
“And I wouldn't be surprised if any social media is going to do this soon, because Instagram already has photos of your face, right? They could already train a model on your face in that kind of sense. And you could put the clothing on it that they put in their…”
Danny Postma Apr 24, 2023 ▶ 29:06 Beyond Avatars: How AI is Reshaping Online Identity (Danny Postma and Sinead Bovell)
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Postma: Lensa matched my startup's total lifetime revenue in one hour
“Seeing Lenza swoop in one month after we actually launched this already and just did our revenue in one hour or something.”
Danny Postma Apr 24, 2023 ▶ 32:54 Beyond Avatars: How AI is Reshaping Online Identity (Danny Postma and Sinead Bovell)
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Postma: Fine-tuning an AI face model costs 60 cents
“So currently to deep train a model on someone's face to be able to generate photos After that, it costs 60 cents to generate this. Yeah. So not even a dollar. And then I think per photo you're at a fraction of a cent right now. So you could generate hundreds o…”
Danny Postma Apr 24, 2023 ▶ 15:46 Beyond Avatars: How AI is Reshaping Online Identity (Danny Postma and Sinead Bovell)
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Postma: Canva will launch brand-trained AI tools within 3 months
“I'm going to a hundred percent bet you that Kanfa does this in the next three months.”
Danny Postma Apr 24, 2023 ▶ 38:11 Beyond Avatars: How AI is Reshaping Online Identity (Danny Postma and Sinead Bovell)
Assertion Supported
Postma: Lensa generated $40 million from AI profile pictures
“I believe Lenza did forty million dollars with that.”
Danny Postma Apr 24, 2023 ▶ 21:32 Beyond Avatars: How AI is Reshaping Online Identity (Danny Postma and Sinead Bovell)
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