The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 13 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Opinion
Postma: Lensa destroyed the AI profile picture market
“So yeah, Lensa basically killed the whole market after they went live.”
Danny Postma Apr 24, 2023 ▶ 24:04 Beyond Avatars: How AI is Reshaping Online Identity (Danny Postma and Sinead Bovell)
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Postma: Social media will integrate AI clothing try-ons within years
“And I wouldn't be surprised if any social media is going to do this soon, because Instagram already has photos of your face, right? They could already train a model on your face in that kind of sense. And you could put the clothing on it that they put in their…”
Danny Postma Apr 24, 2023 ▶ 29:06 Beyond Avatars: How AI is Reshaping Online Identity (Danny Postma and Sinead Bovell)
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Postma: Lensa matched my startup's total lifetime revenue in one hour
“Seeing Lenza swoop in one month after we actually launched this already and just did our revenue in one hour or something.”
Danny Postma Apr 24, 2023 ▶ 32:54 Beyond Avatars: How AI is Reshaping Online Identity (Danny Postma and Sinead Bovell)
Opinion
Postma: AI fashion modeling needs industry domain expertise, not better models
“So the technology is there at the moment, I believe it's up to a company that understands the fashion industry to take it to the other level.”
Danny Postma Apr 24, 2023 ▶ 10:37 Beyond Avatars: How AI is Reshaping Online Identity (Danny Postma and Sinead Bovell)
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Postma: Fine-tuning an AI face model costs 60 cents
“So currently to deep train a model on someone's face to be able to generate photos After that, it costs 60 cents to generate this. Yeah. So not even a dollar. And then I think per photo you're at a fraction of a cent right now. So you could generate hundreds o…”
Danny Postma Apr 24, 2023 ▶ 15:46 Beyond Avatars: How AI is Reshaping Online Identity (Danny Postma and Sinead Bovell)
Disclosure
Postma: HeadshotPro stacks 15 distinct AI models to build a product moat
“What I'm doing with HeadShield is basically it's 15 different AI models stacked on top of each other in like a sequence of doing things together.”
Danny Postma Apr 24, 2023 ▶ 34:26 Beyond Avatars: How AI is Reshaping Online Identity (Danny Postma and Sinead Bovell)
Insight
Postma: 99% of AI apps can be built with no-code tools
“99% of the apps you can build right now with API wrappers with no code tools.”
Danny Postma Apr 24, 2023 ▶ 36:18 Beyond Avatars: How AI is Reshaping Online Identity (Danny Postma and Sinead Bovell)
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Postma: Canva will launch brand-trained AI tools within 3 months
“I'm going to a hundred percent bet you that Kanfa does this in the next three months.”
Danny Postma Apr 24, 2023 ▶ 38:11 Beyond Avatars: How AI is Reshaping Online Identity (Danny Postma and Sinead Bovell)
Disclosure
Postma: Built Deep Agency prototype in 24 hours after viral tweet
“My product wasn't ready yet. Deep agency, the tweet went absolutely viral. So within 24 hours, I had to come up with something to put live because otherwise there wasn't a website online.”
Danny Postma Apr 24, 2023 ▶ 8:40 Beyond Avatars: How AI is Reshaping Online Identity (Danny Postma and Sinead Bovell)
Disclosure
Postma: Small clothing brands are primary users of AI models
“So I believe this is from what I've seen talking to customers, people, the number one question in my life chat is from mom and pop shops with close clothing brands who do not have the funds to hire models, to put on clothing for the web shops, who I think prob…”
Danny Postma Apr 24, 2023 ▶ 16:12 Beyond Avatars: How AI is Reshaping Online Identity (Danny Postma and Sinead Bovell)
Assertion Supported
Postma: Lensa generated $40 million from AI profile pictures
“I believe Lenza did forty million dollars with that.”
Danny Postma Apr 24, 2023 ▶ 21:32 Beyond Avatars: How AI is Reshaping Online Identity (Danny Postma and Sinead Bovell)
Disclosure
Postma: HeadshotPro has generated 1 million AI corporate headshots
“I think it's a million now, because I have to manually update it the next two weeks live now.”
Danny Postma Apr 24, 2023 ▶ 22:46 Beyond Avatars: How AI is Reshaping Online Identity (Danny Postma and Sinead Bovell)
Disclosure
Postma: Uses ChatGPT to summarize academic machine learning literature
“Also for me, I'm dabbling in all the white papers. I don't have an academic background, so I'm using ChatGPT a lot to summarize those things and understanding it mostly.”
Danny Postma Apr 24, 2023 ▶ 31:10 Beyond Avatars: How AI is Reshaping Online Identity (Danny Postma and Sinead Bovell)
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