The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up
Boneh: An operating quantum computer will likely be built within his lifetime
“I would speculate that in my lifetime, We'll probably see some sort of a, of operating quantum computer.”
Dan Boneh Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 33:34 a16z Podcast | Crypto, Security, CS, Quantum Computing, and More with Our New Professor-in-Residence
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Boneh predicts Bitcoin and Ethereum data will survive until year 3000
“So I think that the Bitcoin and Ethereum blockchains are going to be with humanity now forever, you know, in the year 3000, you know, the era of Futurama, we're still going to be looking at the Ethereum and Bitcoin blockchains. Maybe they won't be called that,…”
Dan Boneh May 18, 2021 ▶ 5:55 The Future of NFTs
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dan Boneh: 50x blockchain speedups will unlock unimaginable new applications
“The same thing is going to happen here is that, you know, we speed things up by a factor of 50 and all of a sudden we get a whole bunch of new applications we couldn't even imagine.”
Dan Boneh Nov 8, 2021 ▶ 46:15 Scaling Up Blockchains with Zero-Knowledge Proofs
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Boneh predicts the widespread emergence of fractional NFT ownership
“So that's pretty interesting, and I think we're going to be seeing things like fractional ownership of NFTs.”
Dan Boneh May 18, 2021 ▶ 14:17 The Future of NFTs
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Boneh predicts an aftermarket for composable NFT enhancements will emerge
“We're going to see enhancements to NFTs, so you can buy an NFT, and then there could be an aftermarket for enhancing it, like this image that you have, your background image, Ariana.”
Dan Boneh May 18, 2021 ▶ 14:26 The Future of NFTs
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Boneh: Blockchains will adopt quantum-resistant signatures before quantum threats emerge
“Quantum computers are ever built. Yes, they will be able to affect the signature algorithm that's used for securing assets on blockchains today, but not to worry. We have other signature algorithms that are actually quantum resistance. So even if you have a qu…”
Dan Boneh May 18, 2021 ▶ 15:58 The Future of NFTs
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Intel AES round execution will drop to two cycles within two years
“In two years, it's gonna get down to two cycles.”
Dan Boneh Jul 28, 2017 ▶ 18:33 Dan Boneh
Made with StarZero

Turn any episode into a week of clips.

This entire site, over 1,000 episodes transcribed, diarized, checked and made playable, runs on the StarZero media pipeline. Drop in your own episode and the podcast clipper finds the moments worth sharing, cuts them, captions them, and reframes them for every feed.