why aren't all 15 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Wolf: Curing all cancer would only extend American lifespans by three years
“But the reality is, if you cure all cancer, you extend American's lifespan by three years.”
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2055
Wolf: 90% of healthcare will soon be delivered at home via phones
“90% of health care is going to be delivered probably from your phone and in your home.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Wolf: Healthcare will leapfrog traditional software and go straight to AI
“We think we're about to have a similar moment in healthcare where we're gonna leapfrog over traditional software and we're gonna go straight from human services to AI.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Wolf: AI health companions will soon detect illnesses long before doctors can
“If you marry all of those things, like, we're gonna have These companions very soon that are providing actually helpful health tips and monitoring us and telling us when something might go wrong far before we know something's going wrong or far before a doctor…”
Assertion Partly supported
Daisy Wolf: Nearly one in seven Americans uses a GLP-1 drug
“Nearly one in seven Americans is taking a GLP one drug. 20% have tried them.”
Assertion Open · timeframe May 2025
Wolf: Only one of the top 100 public software companies is in healthcare
“Of the hundred largest public software companies, one is a healthcare and life science company”
Prediction Held up
Wolf: Future wearables will predict illnesses before patients feel any symptoms
“These wearable devices are gonna predict that you're getting sick before you even start feeling symptoms and know.”
Assertion Contradicted
Wolf: UnitedHealth Group's Net Promoter Score is a dismal four
“Their NPS is four”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Wolf: Consumer health spending shifted beyond vanity drugs to proactive healthcare
“Like, as an investor, we used to kind of think people were only willing to spend on what we'd, like, call sex or vanity drugs, like Propecia, Viagra, and that has totally changed. In the last five years, and people are really interested in their health.”
Assertion Partly supported
Wolf: 88% of Americans are metabolically unhealthy
“88% of Americans are metabolically unhealthy. Half of people don't go to the PCP, half of medications that are prescribed are never taken”
Assertion Partly supported
Wolf: The US spends 20% of GDP on healthcare for worse outcomes
“We spend, you know, it's 20% of our GDP, which is like double that of any other developing country, developed country, and we have worse outcomes, and we're all suffering.”
Assertion Supported
Wolf: Consumer wearable devices accurately predicted the onset of COVID-19
“A lot of these devices could predict exactly COVID coming on”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Wolf: Health insurance will eventually cover consumer wearable health devices
“Today most of these products are consumer purchased, and I think there's totally a world where insurance starts to cover a lot of wearable devices and things today that we think of as consumer products, and we definitely see that.”
Assertion Supported
Wolf: US healthcare is five times larger than the global advertising industry
“Healthcare, US healthcare is five times the size of the global advertising industry, which is what companies like, you know, Meta and Google make all of their money from.”
Assertion Contradicted
Wolf: 20% of all AI venture capital dollars go to healthcare
“20% of AI dollars have gone toward healthcare”