why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Contradicted
Granger: Excel is the world's most popular programming language
“The most popular programming language in the world is Excel. It is programming just like everything else is. And Excel is used by eight hundred million people every single day, right?”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Granger: Democratizing coding will shift software development away from consumer clones
“We're not gonna end up with just Airbnb clones and Pinterest clones, right, eventually we'll start to get very interesting applications that are designed, you know, I'm a biologist, I'm working on cancer, this is purely for solving, for helping me solve cancer…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Granger: Legacy computational models fail to handle modern networked systems
“And the truth is, our models for computation never really included those eventualities, right? We sort of assumed that, hey, that 19 seventies computer with just a single CPU would be fine for us.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Granger: Software industry and academic research are reuniting after decades apart
“Industry and research are starting to come back together again, right? You go back to the seventies, there kind of was no distinction between the two. They were basically the same.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Granger: CRDTs and theoretical trends will reshape software computation
“We're gonna see these start to eek more and more and more into the system as we try and find ways to work against that new machine. And it's those trends that are ultimately going to, you know, reshape the way we think about computation as a whole, and then ho…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Granger: The single-CPU 1970s computer model disappeared over 15 years
“Over the past 15 or so years, the 19 seventies computer disappeared, right?”