why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 1 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rigetti: Quantum devices will perform calculations classical supercomputers never can
“And what it means is what appear to be rudimentary quantum mechanical devices can encode a tremendous amount of information and can be used to compute things that are physically impossible to compute, not only with today's supercomputers, but with any foreseea…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rigetti: A new 'Silicon Valley' will emerge around the quantum ecosystem
“There's going to be another Silicon Valley where the quantum ecosystem is, it kind of comes up.”
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2047
Rigetti: Quantum computers capable of breaking RSA encryption are 20-30 years away
“We're probably 20 to 30 years away from having a machine that would really be able to run Shore's algorithm on Wall Street. On practically relevant problem sizes. At some point in the future, quantum computers will be able to crack RSA encryption.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rigetti: Algorithmic understanding will become quantum computing's primary bottleneck
“And over the next few years, the quantum hardware that we're building is getting better at such a fast rate that we're reaching this point where the bottleneck is going to be understanding the best algorithms to run on those machines to get the most value out …”
Prediction Partly held up
Chad Rigetti: Neuromorphic chips will soon be in mobile handsets
“We're talking about neuromorphic chips in individual handsets being available soon for machine learning.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rigetti: Quantum software engineers will expand significantly within five years
“Over the next five years or so, I think the number of folks who identify as quantum engineers or quantum software engineers is going to go from approximately zero today to a meaningful number, and that the progress on that front will really accelerate.”