The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kim: Consumer AI will shift from productivity to human connectivity in 2026
“Twenty-twenty-six marks the year where major consumer AI application products shift from productivity, helping you work, to connectivity, helping you stay connected.”
Bryan Kim Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 6:26 AI in 2026: 3 Predictions For What’s To Come (a16z Big Ideas)
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kim: AI-to-AI interactions will broker net new human relationships and conversations
“What happens when I'm okay with my AI coming to your AI, my guy talking to your guy, and say, look, have you checked in on him? Do you want to talk about ABC? I think those would be an opener for net new relationship, net new conversations that we wouldn't hav…”
Bryan Kim Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 7:58 AI in 2026: 3 Predictions For What’s To Come (a16z Big Ideas)
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kim: Consumer AI will steal mindshare from traditional non-AI products
“I think we'll, we'll start seeing AI actually take more mindshare and time from traditional products versus AI productivity tools.”
Bryan Kim Dec 31, 2025 ▶ 6:42 AI in 2026: 3 Predictions For What’s To Come (a16z Big Ideas)
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kim: Creativity is emerging as the primary limiting factor for growth
“The new limiting factor is possibly creativity.”
Bryan Kim Jul 21, 2023 ▶ 44:35 Growth vs Efficiency: Can You Have Both?
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Kim: Meta's AI creative tools will restore the efficacy of paid ads
“Facebook or Meta is investing heavily on You know, AI side of it, so that all, sometimes all you need to do is just say, hey, like I have this idea, here's like the base creative. And now they're able to like change what, how it looks, add different, you know,…”
Bryan Kim Jul 21, 2023 ▶ 10:31 Growth vs Efficiency: Can You Have Both?
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