The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Janeway: Non-traditional late-stage tech investments will end in painful correction
“Now, when you see investors, hedge funds, mutual funds, paying premium prices, To buy illiquidity, to buy securities with no liquidity and with no governance rights. In the private market. The only thing you know is when it ends, it will end painfully.”
Janeway: Startup Quality Inevitably Declines When Cheap Capital Is Plentiful
“Again, the people on the other side of the market aren't morons, so the quality inevitably will decline. Inevitably.”
Janeway: Private tech bubble collapse won't threaten the broader economic system
“Now the good news about that is that when it bursts, the, some of these companies that have learned nothing about business discipline will disappear, and the people who have invested in them will lose their money, maybe their jobs, that usually happens as well…”