why aren't all 33 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: Post-Rampart LAPD recruited gang members who killed Notorious B.I.G.
“What happened in the LAPD with the Rampart scandal right after the Rodney King incident They had the same kind of thing. Everybody got fired, et cetera. They had trouble recruiting. They started recruiting people out of gangs and those gang members ended up, y…”
Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: LAPD corruption and rogue officers protected Tupac Shakur's killers
“Well, in that case, the LAPD was corrupt, and the, well, there were literally criminals in the police force protecting the criminals who killed Tupac, and, you know, thankfully, we kind of reopened the cold case, and we caught the guy, but it's,”
Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: Major tech and pharma CEOs couldn't get Biden administration meetings
“It's like every major, you talk to any major tech CEO of the biggest companies in the world of the, you know the biggest pharma companies in the world, none of them could get meetings with this administration.”
Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: FDIC rejected SVB buyer to avoid creating another G-SIB bank
“One of the blocks was there was a bank that was going to buy Silicon Valley bank and by buying Silicon Valley bank, it would move up into the G-SIB category, which is globally systemic important banks. And they're like, no more G-SIBs.”
Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: Car thieves are not prosecuted in almost any blue state
“One of the big things that's changed in talking to many police officers is like grand theft auto is no longer a thing. Like if you steal a car, you don't get prosecuted in almost any state. Certainly in any blue state, you're not getting prosecuted for stealin…”
Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: Harvard enrolls more Nigerian than African American students
“There are more Nigerians. I believe there's more Nigerians at Harvard than African Americans.”
Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: Native American reservation system is essentially UBI paying $65K yearly
“And the reservation system is essentially UBI. It's 65,000 dollars a year, I believe, per resident.”
Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: Vinod Khosla tweeted that AI will replace human musicians
“Our friend Vinod Khosla, I think, had a tweet that got him in a lot of trouble where he said, like, you know, there won't be any more human musicians because the AI would just program whatever feeling, however you want to feel, they just program it for you.”
Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: 98% of crime victims are poor people
“Crimes are committed, like, 98% against poor people. Like, that is who are the victims of crime.”
Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: Grand theft auto is no longer a felony in major cities
“Grand Theft Auto, Is not actually a crime in any major city anymore, unless like it's a crime if it's, you know, some huge auto ring, but like if it's just stealing a car, like if I steal a car and I just like ride it around, smash it into the wall or whatever…”
Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: Half the population of Buenos Aires uses Worldcoin
“Half the people in Buenos Aires use them.”
Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: Half of Buenos Aires residents frequently use Worldcoin
“It's something that half of the citizens of Buenos Aires use on a frequent basis, so, like, it's a really great, useful, important product that, you know, can make everybody's lives better, and we've just outlawed it in the United States, and it is you know, j…”
Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: AI is already far superior to humans at medical diagnosis
“Machines are far better at medical diagnosis already than humans.”
Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: Bitcoin mining energy use is tiny compared to AI
“Campaigning against crypto because of the like Bitcoin mining, which is like tiny, tiny, tiny compared to what people are using on AI now.”
Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: SEC has lost five consecutive crypto court cases
“First of all, you know, the sec has lost, I think five cases in a row. So, you know, like some of their like arbitrary enforcement of things that aren't laws is not working.”
Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: Administrators outnumber students at many elite universities
“At many of the kind of elite institutions, the number of administrators outnumbers the number of students.”
Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: Over 70% of top music streamers are independent
“Over 70% of the artists that are the top streamers are independent. They're like outside of what you would call Hollywood in the music industry.”
Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: Steve Jobs was fired from Apple for making products too expensive
“Steve Jobs got fired because he made the product too expensive.”
Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: Market intermediaries are reselling GPUs for four times purchase price
“This is like, we're flat out, and people are reselling GPUs for
[514] Ben Horowitz: Four times what they bought them for”
Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: Amish voted Trump because Biden administration raided raw milk farms
“The Amish decided to come out and vote for Trump because the Biden administration, and this is so wild, like, raided their farms because they were selling unpasteurized milk.”
Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: 5,000 families account for half of New York's tax base
“I think somebody said it's like, 5000 families in New York are half the tax base, or maybe it's more.”
Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: Higher education now has more administrators than students
“The fact that higher ed has more administrators than students is so crazy.”
Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: Obama administration guaranteed federal college loans for all applicants
“I believe it's in the Obama administration. The federal government basically said that the government would lend anybody the money to go to college who needed it.”
Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: Andrew Mason capped founder and executive equity gains at $50 million
“In Andrew's model, he basically puts a kind of cap on what the CEO, the founders and executives can make, you know, and it's a dollar cap. And once they hit their dollar cap, which is whatever their kind of financial independence threshold is, and I think it w…”
Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: AI datacenters exceeding 100 kilowatts per rack require DC power
“First of all, when you get to that level of power per rack, AC power doesn't work anymore. So like, that's a pretty wild thing. So now, now you're into DC power, which by the way, also requires its own cooling.”
Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: Palantir CEO Alex Karp Never Mentions Palantir in Interviews
“The grand wizard of this is Alex Karp. If you watch his interviews, he never talks about Palantir.”
Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: Japan increased defense spending from 0% to 3% of GDP
“They just went from zero percent of GDP to three percent of GDP spent on defense.”
Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: Post-2024 election stock market gain was fifth largest in history
“Within literally 24 hours of him getting elected, the stock market had its biggest, its fifth biggest day in history.”
Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: Low-income banked Americans spend more on overdraft fees than vegetables
“If you're kind of middle to low income and you're banked, you spend more on overdraft fees than on vegetables.”
Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: One-on-one tutoring is the only consistently proven intervention for autistic students
“This is also true with autistic kids. They've done similar research. And the one thing that works is one-on-one tutoring. Or the one thing that's proven of all the interventions consistently, there is a professor with UCLA, Ivar Lovas, who kind of proved that …”
Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: Fossil fuels account for 70% of Russia's GDP
“70% of, 70% of GDP in Russia, I believe, is fossil fuels.”
Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: Under Toussaint L'Ouverture, Haiti generated more export income than the U.S.
“Under Toussaint, Haiti had more export income than the United States, so super successful as a country.”
Assertion Contradicted
Horowitz: Only two new venture funds were raised in 2009
“It was a difficult year to raise venture capital. In fact, I think there were only two new funds raised that year. There was SARS and Khosla.”