why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Didn’t hold up
DoD will soon stop launching traditional GPS satellites
“Pretty soon we'll, I won't be launching any more of those satellites.”
Prediction Held up
DoD-developed cybersecurity tech will spin off into the commercial market
“One is, we are going to be one of the innovators of new techniques, and we'll do them even if they're expensive, because we have to protect our networks. And so, just as in other Technologies where we have been willing to pay more for innovation and to do the …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carter: Turnkey security architecture for non-tech firms will be huge market
“And so somebody's gonna make an, a hell of a lot of money Who figures out how to brand That architecture, and can credibly say, I'll put together an architecture for you, non-tech company, as good as the one Alex is going to put together for a tech company and…”
Prediction Held up
DoD will maintain funding for risky basic research despite budget pressures
“I'm determined in this, we're doing this, that even in the time of budget pressure, sequester, and all that, that we keep our basic research funding going at a very brisk rate, that, that is things that are a real reach, that the commercial world won't invest …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carter: Skeptical major breaches will trigger systemic cybersecurity changes
“The short answer to your question is, I've been waiting for Godot here for many years, I certainly hope that this is the beginning of a wake-up call, but I, I'm skeptical.”