The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Didn’t hold up
DoD will soon stop launching traditional GPS satellites
“Pretty soon we'll, I won't be launching any more of those satellites.”
Ash Carter Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 2:18 a16z Podcast | Government, Startups, & Innovation -- with U.S. Secretary of Defense Ash Carter
Prediction Held up
DoD-developed cybersecurity tech will spin off into the commercial market
“One is, we are going to be one of the innovators of new techniques, and we'll do them even if they're expensive, because we have to protect our networks. And so, just as in other Technologies where we have been willing to pay more for innovation and to do the …”
Ash Carter Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 10:28 a16z Podcast | Government, Startups, & Innovation -- with U.S. Secretary of Defense Ash Carter
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carter: Turnkey security architecture for non-tech firms will be huge market
“And so somebody's gonna make an, a hell of a lot of money Who figures out how to brand That architecture, and can credibly say, I'll put together an architecture for you, non-tech company, as good as the one Alex is going to put together for a tech company and…”
Ash Carter Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 9:50 a16z Podcast | Security’s Wakeup Call
Prediction Held up
DoD will maintain funding for risky basic research despite budget pressures
“I'm determined in this, we're doing this, that even in the time of budget pressure, sequester, and all that, that we keep our basic research funding going at a very brisk rate, that, that is things that are a real reach, that the commercial world won't invest …”
Ash Carter Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 7:36 a16z Podcast | Government, Startups, & Innovation -- with U.S. Secretary of Defense Ash Carter
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Carter: Skeptical major breaches will trigger systemic cybersecurity changes
“The short answer to your question is, I've been waiting for Godot here for many years, I certainly hope that this is the beginning of a wake-up call, but I, I'm skeptical.”
Ash Carter Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 3:02 a16z Podcast | Security’s Wakeup Call
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