why aren't all 8 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
McAfee: Traditional companies will unequivocally survive despite blockchain decentralization
“The question gets teed up. Are we still going to have companies in the future? And as Eric and I started to think about all the stuff that we'd learned and tried to digest, our answer was an unequivocal yes.”
Assertion Supported
McAfee: Steve Jobs fought opening the App Store to developers for a year
“The compliments are so tricky that they actually tripped up Steve Jobs really badly. This is not lore. This is fact. He did not want to open up the app store to any outside developers. He thought he had to maintain super tight control over that digital environ…”
Opinion
McAfee: Increased computing power will not make central economic planning viable
“And the idea that we're out of that world because of Moore's law, because we have much more computational power now, I find that ludicrous.”
Assertion Supported
McAfee: Top performers in an NIH genomics challenge lacked biology backgrounds
“They interviewed the best performers that, who submitted the top performing algorithms None of them had a life sciences background. There was not a geneticist. There was not a biologist among them.”
Insight
McAfee: Apple's app ecosystem is an N-sided network
“This really starts to turn into three-dimensional chess because the right way to think about the app ecosystem in Apple is not any kind of one or two-sided network. It's an N-sided network.”
Assertion Partly supported
McAfee: A Topcoder challenge cut genome sequencing time to 10 seconds
“They had an algorithm that could do a run in about four hours with about 70% accuracy. There was a faculty member at Harvard Med School who made a big improvement to that algorithm. He developed one that got them up to about 75% accuracy. Kareem then worked wi…”
Insight
McAfee: Humans retain a massive advantage over AI as native speakers of human reality
“We are the native speakers of the human created world. Computers are doing this as their second language. We, I believe we have a massive advantage. We are the native speakers about this reality around us.”
Assertion Partly supported
McAfee: Steam-era companies failed by refusing to rethink factory workflows
“The companies that failed during the transition from steam power over to electric power, almost none of them failed because they refused to invest in electricity. That was not the failure mode. The failure mode was they refused to rethink what a factory could …”