why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chen: Esports talent and team owners will gain power over publishers
“And so, I think over time, if that, if you get to that level, you'll get to a point where you know, the talent ends up holding, you know, the cards in the whole thing.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chen: Cloud gaming success will unlock entirely new game genres in 10 years
“I think we will sit back, you know, 10 years from now, and if the whole cloud gaming thing works, it'll be sort of this, Whole new genres that are unlocked.”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Chen: Gaming will be the primary entertainment medium for new adults
“You're gonna start getting you know, a really interesting group of adults who, ah, they, their primary form of entertainment by hours through their, the, you know, all of growing up, all of, you know, getting into their twenties is gonna be gaming, not all, al…”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Chen: Streamable games will cause market-wide game fragmentation
“As all of the publishers all move towards building, you know, sort of this flavor of streamable game, that actually there are more and more, there's more and more fragmentation of games, right? And the overall market will be growing, but there's more fragmenta…”
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2024
Andrew Chen: Sandbox VR will eventually transform into a VR game publisher
“The company's gonna be a publisher one day.”
Prediction Open · timeframe May 2024
Andrew Chen: Sandbox VR will eventually require thousands of retail employees
“This is going to be like a retail, you know, large retail like chain that is going to need to employ one day, Many, many, many thousands of people on the ground, and it was going to be extremely operationally complex.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
In-Car Experiences Will Shift From Driving to Entertainment
“And of course, we're going to have to completely redesign our in-car experience in the coming years to be less about driving and more about all the things that you'd want to do while you're going from point A to point B.”