The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 4 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Angelopoulos: Future AI evaluation will shift to personalized user leaderboards
“Absolutely. Absolutely. It should be personalized just for you. You should understand which models are best for you.”
Anastasios Angelopoulos May 29, 2025 ▶ 26:06 Beyond Leaderboards: LMArena’s Mission to Make AI Reliable
Prediction Held up
Angelopoulos: LMArena will remain open-source as a commercial company
“We're going to keep publishing papers. We're going to keep releasing open source. We're going to keep releasing open data.”
Anastasios Angelopoulos May 29, 2025 ▶ 1:36:21 Beyond Leaderboards: LMArena’s Mission to Make AI Reliable
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Angelopoulos: Real-world testing will remain fundamental for evaluating AI agents
“The fundamental is organic, real-world testing with feedback. That's not going to change. I can tell you that that is not going to change.”
Anastasios Angelopoulos May 29, 2025 ▶ 1:44:12 Beyond Leaderboards: LMArena’s Mission to Make AI Reliable
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Angelopoulos: LMArena will launch Data-Driven Debugging within months
“So we're building a project now that we call data-driven debugging D three. It's, you know, it's a little farther out. It'll come in a couple months.”
Anastasios Angelopoulos May 29, 2025 ▶ 1:26:14 Beyond Leaderboards: LMArena’s Mission to Make AI Reliable
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