why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Knott Craig: English-speaking sub-Saharan Africa is largely a homogeneous market
“From our perspective, we kind of very much kind of think, you know, at least from an English speaking perspective, sub-Saharan Africa is as close to a homogenous market as you can get.”
Assertion Contradicted
Knott Craig: Watching a 7-second 3G video in South Africa costs $20
“If you spend it, if you watch a seven second YouTube video on three G at South African data rates, it'll cost you about 20 dollars, 20 US dollars.”
Insight
Knott Craig: Google's blank search page is useless to new internet users
“You can't give people a clean Google page. It's absolutely meaningless for most of the communities we deal with.”
Insight
Knott Craig: Tech startups should never compete against American tech giants
“One of the lessons is never, ever go up against American companies.”
Insight
Knott Craig: Outside Silicon Valley, cash flow is the only startup metric
“A lot of people in South Africa and Africa and the rest of the world read those blogs and think that's the holy grail, but there's only one metric and that's cashflow. And advertising is not a business model. One day we'll sell to Google is not a business mode…”
Prediction Held up
Knott Craig: WhatsApp has permanently won the messaging market in Africa
“As soon as the smartphone kind of wave started breaking, you know, WhatsApp just won the race. It has won the race. It will win the race.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Knott Craig: African internet startups struggle due to low connectivity
“For the most part, any internet startup in Africa is really struggling to kind of get any traction in this local market because there's just not enough people on the internet.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Knott Craig: African music service Spinlet will succeed due to music videos
“Music videos are just a killer category. Spinlet's gonna make lots of money.”
Disclosure
Knott Craig: I presided over Mixit, Africa's biggest tech failure
“Well, so, you know, I have the questionable honor of residing over probably the biggest tech failure in Africa.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Knott Craig: WhatsApp is the primary tool for community anti-crime organizing in South Africa
“In South Africa, we have a massive crime problem. So security is a big concern for a lot of people in South Africa. And WhatsApp has become the de facto means of communities organizing against crime.”