The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 13 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Bry: Mass AI Drone Swarms Will Outperform Multi-Billion-Dollar Legacy Weapons
“Buying legacy exquisite systems that cost hundreds of millions of dollars, some cases billions of dollars, there's a trade-off between, like, one or two of something, or, you know, 10,000, or a 100,000, or a million drones, and, you know, if you just look into…”
Bry: U.S. Drone Procurement Lags Demand by Three Orders of Magnitude
“The U.S. Military, I think to their credit, has programs generally pointed in this direction but those programs are operating at the scale of thousands, like single-digit thousands. So we're literally off by, like, three orders of magnitude, I would argue, rel…”
Bry: U.S. Army Quadcopter Requirements Originally Omitted Electronic Warfare Capability
“Had built the system largely informed by the US Army's requirements for what they thought was important for a quadcopter in this space. And electronic warfare was just nowhere on that list.”
Bry: Skydio Software Updates Can Take Up to Two Years to Deploy
“We've had the same experience where, like, sometimes it's taken us two years to push new software into deployed systems.”
Adam Bry: Single human operators will eventually control thousands of military drones
“You can have one operator responsible for multiple drones. Five, 1000, and eventually maybe someday thousands. And I think that's a super, super powerful operating paradigm.”
Bry: Cheap Drones Can Destroy Multi-Million Dollar Military Hardware
“A system that costs a few thousand dollars can take out a system that costs a few million dollars.”
Bry Predicts US Adversaries Will Exploit Low-Cost Autonomous Drones
“The possibility of building very low-cost systems that are very capable and capable of delivering strikes or capable of maintaining surveillance is, is very real, and our adversaries are likely to take advantage of it.”
Bry: AI Autonomy and Swarming Will Transform Drone Warfare Within a Decade
“And I think that we are going to see over the next decade Another fundamental change as rather than having these drones animated by an operator on the ground or by like relatively simple algorithms on board, they become animated by really advanced autonomy and…”
Bry: Ukraine Consumes Millions of Small Drones Annually for Warfare
“If you look in the kind of space that we play, which are small, light quadcopters that weigh a few pounds that are kind of soldier-carried the Ukrainians today are using these things at the rate of millions per year, literally millions per year. It's the prima…”
Bry: Most Drone Warfare in Ukraine Remains Manual or Simple Navigation
“The vast majority of what's happening in Ukraine is still basically one-to-one. Like you've got these FPV pilots who are expert operators who are flying the thing, or they're flying drones with like, with very limited kinds of, you know, pretty simple mission,…”
Bry: Commercial Drone Light Show Technology Is Irrelevant in Modern Warfare
“So when you see the drone light shows, they're a hundred percent reliant on GPS. So they're using GPS to figure out where they are and to position themselves precisely. And they're a hundred percent reliant on a, like a comms link between all the drones all th…”
Skydio has hundreds of drones operating daily in Ukraine, says Adam Bry
“So we've delivered thousands of systems to the Army, to the Marines to allies, and we have hundreds of systems now being used every day in Ukraine.”
Brie: Skydio path planning predicts movement four seconds into the future
“The path planning algorithm is actually predicting about four seconds into the future, so it's looking at what you're doing, it's looking at the environment around it. It's reasoning, and then it's using all of these sort of future possibilities to figure out …”