The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 3 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Back: Raising Bitcoin block size to 1GB would cause network failure
“If we jumped up the block size to a gigabyte now, security would fail, the network would probably fail.”
Adam Back Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 5:36 a16z Podcast | Hard Forks, Hard Choices for Bitcoin
Prediction Held up
Back: Lightning Network could scale Bitcoin capacity up to 10,000x
“There's also right now quite active work on this sort of Bitcoin enhancement called lightning, which is a best described as a kind of right caching layer for Bitcoin, which might scale Bitcoin by a factor of a thousand or 10,000.”
Adam Back Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 14:48 a16z Podcast | Hard Forks, Hard Choices for Bitcoin
Prediction Held up
Back: Lightning Network implementations will yield results within six months
“There's a GitHub and a development mailing list, and there are now three, I think maybe four companies who've come forward with implementations of the early stages of it, and we're hopeful that we'll see results from that within the six-month time frame.”
Adam Back Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 15:13 a16z Podcast | Hard Forks, Hard Choices for Bitcoin
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