why aren't all 22 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
Zipline's autonomous Rwanda drone delivery operations are illegal in the US
“What we're doing in Rwanda is illegal in the US, unfortunately.”
Insight
Personalized medicines cannot be stocked in hospitals and require rapid delivery
“When you think about personalized medicine, medicine that's genetically specific to the person, as we go in this direction with these rare immunotherapies and things like this, You don't get to just like stock a hundred of them at the hospital. You basically h…”
Prediction Didn’t hold up
Zipline's first non-medical drone delivery will likely be livestock sperm
“The first thing we do that isn't medicine will probably be sperm.”
Disclosure
Zipline built jet-style drone flight computers at 1/1000th the cost
“The way we've done that is essentially we've looked at how flight computers in commercial jets are designed, and then we've built the same architecture just using cell phone components for one 1000th of the cost.”
Prediction Partly held up
Zipline's next hub puts all 11 million Rwandans 15 minutes from medicine
“This distribution center is serving about half of all the hospitals in Rwanda, and we are already planning a second distribution center, which will put every single one of the eleven million citizens within a 15 minute delivery of any essential medical product…”
Disclosure
Zipline covers all costs in Rwanda and funds expansion from profits
“We are currently covering all the costs of the system with what we're doing in Rwanda, and we are going to be using money from that first distribution center to fund the second.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Zipline drone delivery costs less than motorcycles and is 20x faster
“Because it costs less than doing a similar delivery using a motorcycle. It's 20 times as fast, and it doesn't depend on roads.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Zipline launches an entirely new drone fleet every four to five months
“So right now we're, we are designing, manufacturing, and operating a completely new fleet of vehicles about every four or five months. That's new airframe, new avionics, new everything.”
Disclosure
a16z Portfolio Company Zipline Delivers 25% of Rwanda's Transfusion Blood
“We have a portfolio company called zip line, and they have been delivering blood throughout Rwanda for a few years now. All together, they deliver a 20% of all blood that's involved in transfusions in Rwanda, 25%, and they do it by a fixed wing drone.”
Assertion Supported
Rinaudo: Zipline delivers 20% of Rwanda's blood supply outside Kigali
“At this point, Zipline is delivering around 20% of the national blood supply of Rwanda outside of Kigali.”
Assertion Supported
Fixed-wing drones yield 20x range and 400x coverage versus quadcopters
“Building a fixed wing vehicle allows us to have about 20 times more range than a quadcopter, so instead of going five kilometers, we go a 150 kilometers, and when you have 20 times more range, that, that means you serve 400 times the service area.”
Assertion Supported
Zipline delivers blood to half of Rwanda's transfusing facilities
“We deliver blood to about half of the transfusing facilities in Rwanda.”
Disclosure
Rinaudo: Zipline drones use Tesla Model S battery cells
“Yeah, and we actually use the exact same cell that goes into the Tesla Model S.”
Insight
Rinaudo: Drones target suburban and rural logistics, not skyscrapers
“It's very efficient for UPS to drive a big brown truck up to the lobby of a skyscraper and unload it. Whereas We're a lot more focused on suburban and rural where it's less efficient.”
Disclosure
UPS funds and advises Zipline's national drone delivery network in Rwanda
“UPS is basically supporting the work that we're doing in Rwanda. So they've both been helping fund the work and then also been advising us in terms of actually creating a logistics network at national scale.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Rinaudo: Zipline will focus on healthcare delivery long term
“You know, we're going to be focused on healthcare for a long time, just because I think that's where this is really needed.”
Assertion Supported
UPS VP John Mena: Zipline's Rwanda operation generates commercial revenue
“For Keller, it's a real revenue producing operation. They're making, you know, some money on this.”
Assertion Partly supported
Zipline performs 500 autonomous drone blood deliveries daily in Rwanda
“Our portfolio company Zipline is delivering blood where it's needed throughout Western Rwanda. There's one place they collect blood in Western Rwanda. There are tons of places they need it, but sometimes it's dangerous or time consuming to get to the place tha…”
Assertion Supported
Rinaudo: Zipline drones carry a 1.5 kg payload
“So we carry about one and a half kilograms today.”
Assertion Supported
Rinaudo: Zipline drones can drop deliveries into two parking spaces
“So we can drop into about two parking spaces. So any driveway, as long as like a house had a driveway, we could deliver to that house.”
Assertion Supported
Rinaudo: Zipline operates within a 30 by 80 foot space
“You only need Something like 30 feet by 80 feet for both launch and landing.”
Assertion Supported
Zipline's Rwanda center covers multiple refugee camps
“There are three or four refugee camps within range of the first distribution center we've set up.”