The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 7 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Dixon: Stack Overflow web traffic dropped 40% due to AI code models
“I mean, like to me, the canary in the coal mine was stack overflow, which my understanding, I, we used to obviously, we used to be investors before they got acquired. And my understanding is that's one of the key things that went into the training algorithms f…”
Spolsky: Modern developers learn by page faulting knowledge, not reading manuals
“We think is that people have given up from learning a priori how to use the programming environments that they're working in. They don't even read a book, let alone the documentation. I think they start by writing code or by cutting and pasting code. They don'…”
Spolsky: Hiring programmers requires evaluating public portfolios like GitHub and Stack Overflow
“It's really looking at a programmer's public work now that's relevant. And so just like you wouldn't hire a designer without looking at a portfolio that they brought, brought you when you're hiring a programmer today, you're likely to look at the, Open source …”
Spolsky: 40M people write software monthly, vs 9M professional developers
“When we started building Stack Overflow we did a lot of research on how many software developers there were in the world, and the conclusion seems to be nine million people that call themselves software developers in the world, and we had at the time six milli…”
Srinivasan: Education will shift from upfront fixed commitments to on-demand learning
“One of my candidates for an industry entering the end of ownership or that may eventually is education in the sense that, you know, you have a huge upfront commitment of K through 12 and then four years of college and then maybe grad school and so on. And you …”
Dixon: Major online communities are driven by only 20,000 core people
“If you look at, Wikipedia, Stack Overflow, like a lot of these kind of interesting kind of movements, like community sites, like they're often like 20,000 people, like they aren't that many, they aren't the millions that you might think.”
Spolsky: Open-source software is driven by developers' motivation to help others
“If you can do three minutes of work to answer something that maybe 10 people in the world know the answer to, and you can save somebody hours and hours of discovery, there's almost no stronger force than the motivation to help that person. And it's especially …”