The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 5 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Prediction Held up
Andreessen: Generative AI will allow non-filmmakers to produce full feature films
“In this last couple weeks with the new version of Sora and a lot of these other new things that are coming out, AI is going to make a whole new kind of filmmaker possible to exist for the first time, which is the filmmaker with no visual skill, right, or acces…”
Marc Andreessen Oct 17, 2025 ▶ 51:17 Marc Andreessen on the State of Film and Hollywood
Prediction Held up
Altman: OpenAI will likely charge users per video generation for Sora
“I assume it's like some version of you have to charge people per generation when it's this expensive.”
Sam Altman Oct 8, 2025 ▶ 38:27 Sam Altman on Sora, Energy, and Building an AI Empire
Assertion Partly supported
Moore: OpenAI's Sora Reached 1 Million Users Faster Than ChatGPT
“And they actually hit a million users faster than ChatGPT itself.”
Olivia Moore Mar 10, 2026 ▶ 21:43 Inside a16z’s Top 100 AI Apps Report with Olivia Moore
Assertion Supported
Moore: OpenAI's Sora Held #1 on US App Store for 20 Days
“They were number one on the App Store, the US App Store, for 20 consecutive days, which is very hard to do.”
Olivia Moore Mar 10, 2026 ▶ 21:30 Inside a16z’s Top 100 AI Apps Report with Olivia Moore
Assertion Supported
Moore: a16z GenAI 100 report added three new video models including Sora
“We had three new video models on the list this time Hyluo and Kling, which are both Chinese models, and then Sora, which was OpenAI's model that was announced, I guess, more than a year ago at this point, and finally was released.”
Olivia Moore Mar 26, 2025 ▶ 8:58 The Top 100 GenAI Products, Ranked and Explained
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