why aren't all 14 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Bry: Skydio Software Updates Can Take Up to Two Years to Deploy
“We've had the same experience where, like, sometimes it's taken us two years to push new software into deployed systems.”
Assertion Supported
Bry: U.S. Army Quadcopter Requirements Originally Omitted Electronic Warfare Capability
“Had built the system largely informed by the US Army's requirements for what they thought was important for a quadcopter in this space. And electronic warfare was just nowhere on that list.”
Disclosure
Bry: Skydio's First Drone Generation Failed in Ukraine Battlefield Conditions
“Candidly, like, our first round of drones in Ukraine basically failed.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Adam Bry: Single human operators will eventually control thousands of military drones
“You can have one operator responsible for multiple drones. Five, 1000, and eventually maybe someday thousands. And I think that's a super, super powerful operating paradigm.”
Disclosure
Brie: Skydio bet on computer vision over heavy, expensive LiDAR sensors
“We did a lot of work with LiDAR, but the vehicles were super heavy, super expensive. So when we started Skydio, we made a big bet on vision because we felt like the progress that's happening in computer vision now especially with deep learning, but even in sor…”
Assertion Partly supported
Ulevitch: Chinese sanctions blocked drone maker Skydio from critical supply chain components
“We work with a company called Skydio, and they were sanctioned by China, and, ah, you know, we usually hear stories about how companies are, you know, sanctioned by the United States from doing business here, but it actually, if you're a company that's an impo…”
Assertion Supported
Horowitz: Las Vegas public safety drones respond within 90 seconds
“So we've deployed prepared nine one, flock safety, Skydio drones and so basically, so, so the way to think about it is, if a gunshot goes off, or if an emergency call comes in or if you kind of show up on a, ah, flag safety camera, you know, and you've kidnapp…”
Assertion Supported
Bry: Cheap Drones Can Destroy Multi-Million Dollar Military Hardware
“A system that costs a few thousand dollars can take out a system that costs a few million dollars.”
Assertion Supported
Horowitz: China sanctioned supply chain component delivery to US drone maker Skydio
“China just you know, put a sanction on getting kind of supplies to Skydio, which is the leading U.S. Drone company.”
Disclosure
Brie: Skydio drones use 13 cameras and NVIDIA TX1 for autonomy
“We have 13 cameras on the device, they see in every direction, and then at its core it has a super powerful computer. We're using the NVIDIA TX-one, which is basically like a deep learning supercomputer that uses the same GPU design, the same architecture that…”
Disclosure
Magic Johnson was an early investor in drone startup Skydio
“Here comes this opportunity with Scotio, and the drones, and, ah, to, ah, be able to be an early investor.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Skydio and Anduril are training a new generation of full-stack engineers
“Companies like Skydio and Andrill and others are really taking on that mantle and training a new generation of full-stack engineers that are really comfortable and fluent across hardware and software.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Skydio has hundreds of drones operating daily in Ukraine, says Adam Bry
“So we've delivered thousands of systems to the Army, to the Marines to allies, and we have hundreds of systems now being used every day in Ukraine.”
Assertion Partly supported
Brie: Skydio path planning predicts movement four seconds into the future
“The path planning algorithm is actually predicting about four seconds into the future, so it's looking at what you're doing, it's looking at the environment around it. It's reasoning, and then it's using all of these sort of future possibilities to figure out …”