why aren't all 10 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Adam D'Angelo: Feed recommendation algorithms are already superhuman at predicting interest
“Recommender systems, the system that ranks your Facebook or Instagram or Quora feed, those recommender systems are already superhuman at predicting what you're gonna be interested in, in reading.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Schroeder: Iranian youth widely use American social networks and edtech platforms
“When I was in Iran a month ago, all the young people wanted to show me on their smart devices, not only how they were all on our social networks, which allows them to see each other as well as to see other parts of the world, all of them had access to Coursera…”
Disclosure
Adam D'Angelo: Quora has partnerships with major AI labs for data
“We have relationships with some of the AI labs and we're gonna sort of play the role, Quora will play the role that it is meant to play in this ecosystem, which is a, as a source of human knowledge.”
Insight
D'Angelo: Quora relied on scarce human expert time unlike AI
“Too much of the Quora product has been built up around this publication model that is sort of fundamentally premised on the idea that expert time is going to be scarce. And the AI, the LLM time is not scarce in the same way.”
Disclosure
Adam D'Angelo: Quora built Poe because GPT-3 answers failed to match humans
“The way we got to it was we, in early, we started experimenting with using GPT-III to generate answers. For Quora. And we compared them to the human answers and sort of realized that they weren't as good, but what was really unique was that you could instantly…”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Quora found GPT-3 could not match top human answer quality
“We ran some experiments using GPT-III to generate answers and compare them to the answers that, that humans had written on Quora. And a lot of the time, GPT-III could not write as good of an answer as what the best human answer was that, that, that had been wr…”
Insight
D'Angelo: Chat is a better AI paradigm than Quora's publication model
“A chat kind of experience, where you can write a question and then get an answer instantly from AI, Was more likely to be the best paradigm for interacting with AI as opposed to this kind of like publication paradigm that, that Quora had.”
Assertion Partly supported
Sherman Wu: Early Quora team included future Scale AI and Perplexity founders
“A bunch of the perplexity team was there. Dennis, Dennis was on the feed team with me. Johnny Ho Jerry Ma. And then Alexander, the scale, you know, like was there. He was there between high school and college.”
Assertion Supported
Levie: Quora created a dedicated role to identify AI-automatable workflows
“Adam D'Angelo had this cool role that just kind of got announced. Yeah, the role is to work with Adam at Quora and figure out which workflows can be automated with AI.”
Assertion Supported
Augusto Marietti wrote a top Quora post on surviving SF on $14,000
“You had the You had the Quora, like the top Quora post for living on like, 14,000 a year in San Francisco.”