why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Opinion
Carlson-Wee: Locking 5% of Ether in MakerDAO creates systemic risk
“Now I do think it almost starts to create systemic risk at around, say, five percent of all ether.”
Insight
Milenius: DAOs require fluid, contextual leadership rather than no leadership
“Part of our experience of growing up has been to not be afraid of leadership. Leadership is so big. With humans, whether they're coordinating on mass scales, on micro scales, or anything in between, you know, we've really learned that a good leader is worth ev…”
Opinion
Carlson-Wee: MakerDAO has high chance of failure, but massive upside if successful
“What the maker system is attempting to do, and I view it as hugely ambitious with, you know, likely a high chance of failure, but if they can pull it off, it's massive”
Assertion Supported
MakerDAO reached $200M in loan volume faster than Lending Club
“In their first year, year and a half of existence, they issued two hundred million dollars worth of these effective self loans. And that is, if we want to look at a public market comp like Lending Club, it took Lending Club five years to get to that kind of ut…”
Assertion Supported
Carlson-Wee: 2% of all Ether is locked in MakerDAO
“It's about two percent of all ether is, is held in the MakerDAO contract, and now that's hard capped by the protocol.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Milenius: Effective governance will make MKR increasingly scarce over time
“If the MKR holders do a good job, then we can expect MKR to become more scarce over time.”