The Ledger

Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.

clear all ✕

why aren't all 6 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable

Assertion Contradicted
Buterin: Building fair lotteries on Bitcoin requires O(N³) collateral versus O(N) on Ethereum
“Like, one of them was they published this at the Financial Cryptography, in the workshop, that they were trying to create a provably fair lottery on top of Bitcoin, and it turns out that if you have N players in the lottery, Then you basically have to have O o…”
Vitalik Buterin Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 13:55 a16z Podcast | Ethereum, App Coins, and Beyond
Assertion Contradicted
Paulus: One-third of all Bitcoin ever mined is lost
“Something like one third of every Bitcoin ever mind is, is now lost.”
Mike Paulus Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 7:10 a16z Podcast | Reinventing Insurance
Assertion Contradicted
Adam Ludwin: Bitcoin was the first fully functioning digital asset
“Well, Bitcoin was the first fully functioning digital asset the world has ever seen.”
Adam Ludwin Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 0:38 a16z Podcast | Blockchain vs/and Bitcoin
Assertion Contradicted
Armstrong: Bitcoin volatility decreased every year for three years
“We've seen volatility drop every year for the last three years.”
Brian Armstrong Jan 2, 2019 ▶ 16:11 a16z Podcast | Bitcoin, Greece, and What’s Next for Cryptocurrency
Assertion Contradicted
Paul Krugman estimates daily Bitcoin transaction volume is under $1 billion
“It looks like there's something like five hundred million to a billion dollars worth of transactions, ah, a day in Bitcoin.”
Paul Krugman Nov 2, 2018 ▶ 4:17 Debating Crypto: Katie Haun vs. Paul Krugman
Assertion Contradicted
Bitcoin market capitalization has stabilized around $3.5 billion
“Today the, you can see that in the last six months or so, things have kind of stabilized, and market capitalization is around three and a half billion.”
Dan Boneh Jul 28, 2017 ▶ 2:28 Dan Boneh
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