why aren't all 13 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public
record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 0 checkable
ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't;
assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card:
▮▮▮▮▮ certainty ·
▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Assertion Supported
McEntush: Falling power generation costs are offset by rising grid delivery costs
“The cost to generate electricity, the cost of like power, Has dropped immensely. Gas, solar, things like that. But the cost to actually deliver that electricity has increased a ton. And so in net, it's sort of not changed.”
Assertion Supported
Cloud hyperscalers are exploring nuclear energy to ensure data center reliability
“You know, another good example is like data centers, as you noted you know, these regions where a lot of these data centers are located are expecting huge growth in energy demand to the point now that some large hyperscalers are looking at things like nuclear …”
Assertion Supported
NERC highlights energy policy as a top grid risk over next decade
“And there's a separate group called the NERC, which is a semi sort of government associated. But they run these sort of these risk reports. And they have highlighted that one of the key risks for the grid over the next decade is actually policy.”
Assertion Supported
McEntush: Grid load forecasting relies primarily on weather and temperature forecasts
“Most of this load forecast is done by just looking at the weather. Like, they look at, like, basically, like, one of the best indexes, they look at where, where the homes are, like, what, how many people are there, and then what the temperature is going to be.…”
Assertion Supported
US energy demand saw virtually no growth over the past two decades
“And for the last, you know, couple decades, we really haven't seen a growth in energy demand.”
Assertion Supported
McEntush: US grid outages and electricity price volatility are rising
“We have an increase in outages, a lot of this weather related the price of electricity is now a lot more volatile.”
Assertion Supported
Delivery fees now exceed 50% of California residential electricity bills
“Many times and increasingly so in California, the cost to deliver is like over 50% of the bill.”
Assertion Supported
McEntush: Solar and wind energy are cheaper even without subsidies
“They are cheaper. Even without subsidies, LCOE is often a metric thrown around, which is the levelized cost of energy. Solar and wind are really, really good.”
Prediction Held up
McEntush: Grid batteries will expand from short-burst balancing to daily load-shifting
“Increasingly as batteries enter the grid, which as you've noted from the chart, it's not that significant penetration yet. It will start to be able to cycle over sort of a daily timeframe. So, as I mentioned earlier, taking energy from the middle of the day an…”
Assertion Supported
Enron originally pushed policies that created deregulated US energy wholesale markets
“The other type are deregulated markets, which started really becoming a thing over the last like 20 or so years. Largely pushed forward originally by Enron and pushing these policies of sort of these free markets where energy was going to be traded in these wh…”
Assertion Supported
McEntush: Electrical transformer lead times currently exceed one year
“Things like transformers are, you know, have crazy lead times, like over a year or more, not to mention that it's increased in price dramatically.”
Assertion Partly supported
Despite having nuclear power, South Africa's electric grid faces daily blackouts
“There are a lot of countries that were once had great grids, South Africa, great example. They have nuclear power, but much of the day in South Africa, the grid is actually completely down.”
Assertion Supported
McEntush: Texas maintains an independent grid unlike East and West coasts
“Texas is, for many reasons, wants to have an independent grid, whereas the West and the East Coast are completely fine having sort of these interstate networks.”