The Ledger
Every statement that passed quotation and attribution checks. Mix any filter with any other: certainty 1/5, debate potential 5/5, or both at once.
why aren't all 53 resolved? a statement only gets an assessment when the public record can support or contradict it. opinions and what-ifs never can, and 2 checkable ones are still open, waiting for their date. predictions held up or didn't; assertions are supported or contradicted. on every card: ▮▮▮▮▮ certainty · ▮▮▮▮▮ debate potential. speakers are clickable
Karp: Displacing jobs without supporting defense will lead to tech nationalization
“If Silicon Valley believes we are going to take away everyone's white collar job, Meaning primarily democratic shaped people met whom I grew up with, highly educated people who went to elite schools or went to schools that are almost elite who vote for one par…”
Acharya: A single individual will eventually build a $100 billion revenue company
“I think that there are businesses that will be built by, you know, a hundred billion revenue, one person.”
Andreessen: US institutions recruit African immigrants to avoid hiring African Americans
“Both the universities and the corporate employers are literally, this is true, they're literally, they literally import Africans so that they don't have to hire African Americans because they still count as black.”
Balaji Srinivasan: AI will drive global professional wages toward $20K equilibrium
“If you've got, let's say, a lawyer who's making 200 K a year in the US or a doctor in the West, and then you've got somebody from the Philippines or India or anywhere in the world who's making currently 2000 dollars a year, maybe the converged wage with AI plu…”
Burgum: Losing AI race to China is existential threat, not climate change
“The existential threat is not a degree of temperature change in 2100. The existential threat was Iran getting a nuclear weapon, ah, and losing the AI arms race to China. Those are the two top order bits in terms of priorities.”
Horowitz: Donald Trump is the right choice for startups and Little Tech
“For a little tech we think Donald Trump is actually the right choice”
Andreessen: Big Tech is aggressively lobbying for regulatory capture against startups
“Quite honestly, I mean, part of what's happening is big tech is against us. There, there's a, there's basically a lot of the political issues now are a civil war inside the tech industry where, The big tech companies are lobbying very aggressively for what the…”
Horowitz: Big Tech's startup cloud deals involve illegal roundtripping accounting
“The big tech companies have done this thing which we thought was illegal because we observed it occur at AOL and people went to jail, but what they've done is they invest in startups, you know, huge amounts of money. Microsoft and Amazon and Google are all doi…”
Horowitz: Google and Microsoft push for centralized Chinese-style AI control
“Like we go to the China model that Google and Microsoft are advocating for this Chinese model of only a few can control AI. We're going to be in big trouble.”
Andreessen: Vinod Khosla lobbied Congress to ban open-source AI
“Vinod has been lobbying to ban open source AI. And by the way, he denies that he's been doing this, but I saw him with my own eyes when the US Congressional China Committee came to Stanford I was in the meeting where he was with, you know, 30 20 or 30 congress…”
Horowitz: Scientists absolutely knew COVID-19 originated from a lab leak
“The lab leak was a great example of that. The, you know, people absolutely knew as a lab leak, the scientists absolutely knew as a lab leak, but for the greater good we're going to say it was not.”
Andreessen: Automated and AI-augmented warfare will make conflict much safer
“I actually think warfare is going to get a lot safer. Like, I think, actually, automated warfare would be much, much safer.”
Balaji Srinivasan: The FDA caused one million preventable COVID-19 deaths
“And you could have avoided like a million dead. That million dead is on the FDA's head, like, because challenge trials could have been done, you know?”
Harari: Superior algorithms will render democracy and free markets completely obsolete
“And once you have an external entity, An algorithm that knows me better than I know myself. This is the real turning point. This is the point when individualism as we've known, it doesn't make any sense when democracy in the free market become completely obsol…”
Chen: Deep learning will outperform trained radiologists within five years
“It takes five years to train a radiologist, and in five years, deep learning will get better results than a trained radiologist, so we should stop training them right now.”
Paul Krugman predicts most crypto projects will look like Pets.com by 2033
“My guess is, however, that I think I don't actually believe that we're at the dawn of a new age. I actually believe that we're at the that that most of this 10 years back, 15 years, 15 years from now, it will look a lot like Pets.com.”
Rowan: University protests are fundamentally anti-American and anti-system
“Israel, Palestine is not fully an anti-Semitic issue. And that's not what I saw at these universities. I saw it as an anti-American, anti-system issue.”
Andreessen: Police Reform and Defund Movements Caused Massive Crime Waves
“All these, like, you know, crime policy reform, defund the police things, and that causes these massive crime waves, and then, of course, low-income and minority people get hit hardest by that”
Andreessen: Social Reform Activists Are Driven by Greed and Power, Not Empathy
“They're neither empathetic nor, nor, nor are they suicidal, right? Rather quite the opposite. They're hateful and they're greedy. You know, they're sort of self-aggrandizing and gathering a power of resources for themselves.”
Karp: The Wealth Tax Exists to Penalize the Rich, Not Help Poor
“The wealth tax is a derivative of this because everyone knows the wealth tax isn't going to help the poor. It's just going to fuck the rich and that's enough to get it done.”
Horowitz: Defunding the police effectively terrorizes poor communities
“When you go defund the police, we're not gonna enforce law, you're basically terrorizing the poor community.”
Horowitz: Anthropic has the worst code security practices in AI
“Their reputation is they have the literally the worst security practices in the entire industry with respect to their own code.”
Andreessen: Paul Thomas Anderson's new film is 'Antifa the movie'
“Arguably, it is kind of salient to our times, because I think if you were to retitle the movie, you would just title it Antifa the movie. Like, it's, like, it's like a full-throated celebration of basically violent social change, violent social revolution, lik…”
Keith Rabois claims Jerome Powell lowered interest rates to help Kamala Harris
“I think he has Trump derangement syndrome. He just hates Trump. That's why he artificially lowered rates to try to get Kamala elected. It is indefensible cutting 50 basis points off in, you know, last fall.”
Best: Peer review is a mistake driving a crisis of fake science
“I think a lot of science is totally broken. I think that they're like, I think that a lot of the, and I think that the scientific project is incredibly important and one of the most valuable things in history, but that the practice of science and the Current s…”
Balaji Srinivasan: Journalism is the non-consensual invasion of privacy for profit
“So journalism, as the non-consensual invasion of privacy for profit, really captures what it is these critters do.”
Balaji Srinivasan: Media claims positive influence while denying negative societal impacts
“When it comes publisher time, they will admit that their stories led to something. But when it comes BLM time, they deny that their stories led to America, you know, half America getting burned down. So it's a one-way ratchet where they take all the credit and…”
Balaji Srinivasan: Musk's Twitter acquisition liberated Meta and YouTube from censorship
“X-Day was also the liberation of Meta and liberation of YouTube, right? All the countries that these racial fanatics at the NYT had occupied, right? All the networks they had occupied. That was like, you know how, like, the Nazi empire was at, like, its peak, …”
Balaji Srinivasan: San Francisco homeless NGOs profit from rising homelessness and addiction
“The homeless industrial complex, so that shows that the NGOs, as their budget rises, the homeless population rises with it. They're basically paid to get people addicted to drugs.”
Balaji Srinivasan: Cutting USAID funding destroys the Democratic institution business model
“Really, what's happening is the cutoff of USAID is rolling up Blue Empire, so it's killing the blue business model.”
Balaji Srinivasan: Democrats destroyed democracy in California and created a one-party state
“In California, elections are held, but the party always wins, exactly like China. Okay, Democrats destroyed democracy in California.”
Horowitz: Anthony Fauci is a sociopath completely divorced from the truth
“I think Fauci, you know, whether you like him or not, he is, I think he's, he, he's a bit of a sociopath. I mean, he is completely divorced from the truth. And he feels no guilt about it. The, you know, he never felt any guilt about the whole AIDS thing, despi…”
Roy Lee: Replace marketing heads with fewer than 100k social followers
“If any company in the world has a marketing team and the head of marketing does not have a 100,000, at least a 100,000 followers. Like, you need to replace them. Like the game has changed.”
Andreessen: EA doomers and dark money spent years infiltrating Washington on AI
“The doomers you know, the sort of doomers, the EA people, the sort of billionaire dark, dark shadowy money billionaires sort of playing, playing, playing in the, in, in this area trying to do various kind of nefarious things you know, had actually infiltrated …”
Horowitz: SEC aims to destroy crypto industry rather than protect consumers
“The SEC has been against that because they're not really for protecting consumers. They're you know, just for wrecking the industry.”
Horowitz: Excusing October 7th violence reflects a return to tribal morality
“You can kind of see some of that tribalism coming back. Back in America where people like, well, you know, it's kind of a race. Well, we see it a lot right now in the Israel-Palestinian conflict where they think there's a certain set of people that say, oh, Oc…”
Horowitz: Google and Microsoft use safety rhetoric to lobby against open-source AI
“And they do it like the really kind of nasty thing is they claim, oh, it's for safety. You know, we've created an alien that we can't control, but we're not going to stop working on it. We're going to keep building it as fast as we can. And we're going to buy …”
Andreessen: Corporate HR parallel control structures mirror Soviet governance
“I do think we, I would say, big companies, large institutions have backed into a system that actually is very reminiscent of how the Soviets used to run things with respect to this kind of parallel control structure.”
Andreessen: The EU is determined to place blanket bans on capitalism
“The EU seems absolutely determined to ban everything to sort of put a blanket ban on capitalism and within that ban AI and ban energy.”
Horowitz: Coercing banks to debank legal industries mirrors fascist operational methods
“This is exactly how fascism worked. This is how Nazi Germany worked. They use private corporations to kind of confiscate people's stuff and you know, do these kinds of techniques to them.”
Horowitz: 50 years of affirmative action failed to help African Americans
“I think, look, I think it's clearly not working also in the, yeah, I mean, they were there, you know, with the kind of ruling on affirmative action, there were so many studies that showed that It didn't actually help African-Americans. 50 years, you know, forg…”
Horowitz: Rejecting Roland Fryer's police research led to a spike in murders
“What happened subsequently is his recommendation or his kind of ideas were not taken by society. What was taken were people who were kind of, who did far worse or no research. And, but were experts and, you know, kind of the result was the defund the police mo…”
Robbins: SSRI antidepressant medications do not work
“They don't work, and yet we still sell them for some reason.”
Andreessen: Strongly supports the federal execution of Julius and Ethel Rosenberg
“Anyway, I am strongly pro the execution of the Rosenbergs.”
Chris Power claims 90% of US solar panels use Chinese slave labor
“90% of the solar panels in the country are being made in China by basically slave labor where millions of minority and immigrant women are being chemically castrated every year and forced into servitude.”
Balaji Srinivasan: Tech journalists act as hitmen for legacy inherited wealth
“A lot of these tech journalists are basically employees of some east coast nepotist Who's inherited millions of dollars and or a newspaper and is funding their whole operation. So they're meritless nepotous and or employees thereof who are attacking the self-m…”
Caplan: Schools should replace credentialed teachers with enthusiastic young non-graduates
“So, basically, it seems like we'd go and replace a lot of teachers from, you know, better schools, and with master's degrees, and with more experience, with just enthusiastic, fun, young teachers. You know, maybe people haven't even finished high school.”