Tren Griffin, author of Charlie Munger: The Complete Investor, discusses why critics misunderstand the true value of behavioral economics and complexity theory.
“Both of those things teach you not that you can create a predictive theory, but that you should be humble and that you should build in a margin of safety.”
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“And a key message of the book is, probably the key message, Is the best way to be smart is to not be stupid.”
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“You can get people who are so caught up in formulas and teaching formulas like value at risk or things like that, the students sort of lose track of the forest. And they also become sort of unduly reliant on models, which may have tail risks, which are unappar…”
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Griffin: Every business's future is worse than its present due to competition
“All moats are constantly under attack. You can't see it, but they're constantly under attack. And what Munger says is, Is the future of every business is worse than the present.”
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“Risk doesn't come from volatility. Risk comes from not knowing what you're doing.”
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