Dr. Vijay Pande, General Partner at a16z, argues that insurance payers rather than the FDA should evaluate the economic value and efficacy of new drugs.
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pande: Cancer could easily not exist in 10 years
“Cancer could easily just not exist in 10 years, and that's due to this change in how we think about things, and there's all these things on the back end.”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Vijay Pande: Compute costs will fall a million-fold over 20 years
“The nice thing about the exponentials is that, you know, things will go down a factor of a thousand, like, every 10 years on the Moore's Law side, and we'll continue to see that. So, a thousand, maybe in 20 years, a million, you know, a thousand times a thousa…”
Insight
Pande: Healthcare AI needs a 10x improvement threshold to overcome stigma
“Yeah, so I think the bar is different. This might be the magic has to get to 10 X. Mm-hmm. Something where 10% is probably within noise and without doubt or something like that, but 10 X is kind of the thing where, like, okay, okay. We have to think of things …”
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Pande: Healthcare service providers will eventually transition into AI companies
“Well, you can imagine a services company that's providing some sort of healthcare service. It's training AI with its workers. And then the easy things, which are probably the boring things anyways, AI starts to do. And then the more interesting, complicated th…”
Prediction Open · timeframe Jan 2028
Pande: The world's largest company will be in consumer health tech
“The biggest company in the world will be a consumer health tech company.”
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Pande: AI is turning scientific discovery into an industrialized process
“Today, what I want to talk about is how AI is industrializing discovery.”