Sinofsky: Claims that AI will replace all programmers are extreme overpromises
Steven Sinofsky · Former Microsoft Executive Explains Where We Are in the AI Cycle w/ Anish Acharya & Steven Sinofsky · Jun 27, 2025 · at 17:55
Steven Sinofsky is a board partner at a16z and former President of Microsoft's Windows division. He compares AI software generation claims to historical tech cycles.
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“The arc of programming has been one of basically over promise and under deliver. You know, when I was in college, like, the theory was the market was gonna need so many programmers that the whole employment force would be, the whole workforce would just be software people. And that never happened. And now here we are. We're not going to need any. They're all just going to go away. And I think it was extreme in 1990 and it's extreme today.”
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