Prediction certainty 3/5 debate potential 3/5

Yafah Edelman: The modal timeline for artificial superintelligence is 2045

Yafah Edelman · The 2045 Superintelligence Timeline: Epoch AI’s Data-Driven Forecast · Nov 24, 2025 · at 45:00

Yafah Edelman, a researcher at Epoch AI, discusses her timeline expectations for achieving artificial superintelligence during a interview on AI forecasting.

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“I have, I think I am on the record as saying that the median timeline I discussed or the modal timeline, sorry I think it's modal, yeah which might be on the early side compared to where my median is is, you know, twenty-forty-five was where, when I did the podcast with Jaime, we discussed, like, our forecasting breaking down and everything going bananas is the terminology I have used and that, like, looks like superintelligence.”

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