Prediction certainty 3/5 debate potential 3/5

David Owen: AI will automate all remote work within 25 years

David Owen · The 2045 Superintelligence Timeline: Epoch AI’s Data-Driven Forecast · Nov 24, 2025 · at 46:21

David Owen, a researcher at Epoch AI, provides his judgmental forecast median for AI automating remote work tasks and leading to superintelligence.

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“Like, my sort of, you know, guesses, my, like, judgmental forecasts, to use the fancy term, for just kind of can do any remote work tasks. Probably have a median of about, like, 20, 25 years. I kind of struggle to imagine a world where that happens, and people are, like, deploying it and doing research, and yet they're not making further progress to being able to do stuff much better. So I guess they have to be, like, not too much longer after that for some definition of superintelligence.”

quote is from the automated transcript, cleaned for reading: filler sounds and stutters are removed, nothing is rephrased. names can be misheard (the analysis reads context, assessments check outside sources). how →

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