Aug 29, 2019 · 15m · a16z

Social Networking in 2030: How Could Crypto Change Things?

Chris Dixon · 14m spoken
0:00 / 0:00
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gold bands on the timeline = statements, start to end. Hover to read, click to jump. CC turns on captions

In this presentation at the a16z Crypto Regulatory Summit, Chris Dixon argues that blockchain technology and token economics will fundamentally transform social networking by 2030, shifting control and financial ownership from centralized tech monopolies back to users and open-source communities.

How this conversation actually went

Every chapter scored 0–10 on four independent dynamics. Hover any point for the reasoning behind the score. How this is scored →

The host as informed peer 0.0 Guest teaching 0.0 Guest disagreement 0.2 The host pushing back 0.0
05100:0010:000:35–2:49 · The host as informed peer 0/10 What We Thought Social Networking Would Be Chris Dixon delivers a solo presentation introducing the history of Web 1 and Web 2 social networking while outlining current issues like de-platforming and privacy failures. Because this is a monologue presentation without a host speaking, all host-related metrics and combativeness scores remain at zero.2:49–6:58 · The host as informed peer 0/10 Problems With Ownership and Incentives Dixon compares Web 2 economic lock-in with open protocols like SMTP, answering a brief one-word question from an audience member regarding platform incentives. Host participation is non-existent during this monologue segment, keeping host scores at zero.6:58–9:38 · The host as informed peer 0/10 Where Crypto Fits In: Aligning User Economics Dixon explains how crypto protocols align economic interests and solve the cold-start bootstrap problem for startup networks using token rewards. As a host-less monologue, host pushback and expertise metrics are strictly zero.9:38–12:37 · The host as informed peer 0/10 Solves Governance Issues: Community Control Dixon details decentralized governance models and argues for competitive market-based content moderation over centralized company product managers. The host is not present in the dialogue, resulting in zero host scores.12:37–15:26 · The host as informed peer 0/10 Beyond Social Networking: Future Web3 Applications Dixon outlines future Web3 applications beyond social media, including game streaming and AI data marketplaces, before concluding his talk. With no host interaction throughout the segment, host scores remain zero.0:35–2:49 · Guest teaching 0/10 What We Thought Social Networking Would Be Chris Dixon delivers a solo presentation introducing the history of Web 1 and Web 2 social networking while outlining current issues like de-platforming and privacy failures. Because this is a monologue presentation without a host speaking, all host-related metrics and combativeness scores remain at zero.2:49–6:58 · Guest teaching 0/10 Problems With Ownership and Incentives Dixon compares Web 2 economic lock-in with open protocols like SMTP, answering a brief one-word question from an audience member regarding platform incentives. Host participation is non-existent during this monologue segment, keeping host scores at zero.6:58–9:38 · Guest teaching 0/10 Where Crypto Fits In: Aligning User Economics Dixon explains how crypto protocols align economic interests and solve the cold-start bootstrap problem for startup networks using token rewards. As a host-less monologue, host pushback and expertise metrics are strictly zero.9:38–12:37 · Guest teaching 0/10 Solves Governance Issues: Community Control Dixon details decentralized governance models and argues for competitive market-based content moderation over centralized company product managers. The host is not present in the dialogue, resulting in zero host scores.12:37–15:26 · Guest teaching 0/10 Beyond Social Networking: Future Web3 Applications Dixon outlines future Web3 applications beyond social media, including game streaming and AI data marketplaces, before concluding his talk. With no host interaction throughout the segment, host scores remain zero.0:35–2:49 · Guest disagreement 0/10 What We Thought Social Networking Would Be Chris Dixon delivers a solo presentation introducing the history of Web 1 and Web 2 social networking while outlining current issues like de-platforming and privacy failures. Because this is a monologue presentation without a host speaking, all host-related metrics and combativeness scores remain at zero.2:49–6:58 · Guest disagreement 1/10 Problems With Ownership and Incentives Dixon compares Web 2 economic lock-in with open protocols like SMTP, answering a brief one-word question from an audience member regarding platform incentives. Host participation is non-existent during this monologue segment, keeping host scores at zero.6:58–9:38 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Where Crypto Fits In: Aligning User Economics Dixon explains how crypto protocols align economic interests and solve the cold-start bootstrap problem for startup networks using token rewards. As a host-less monologue, host pushback and expertise metrics are strictly zero.9:38–12:37 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Solves Governance Issues: Community Control Dixon details decentralized governance models and argues for competitive market-based content moderation over centralized company product managers. The host is not present in the dialogue, resulting in zero host scores.12:37–15:26 · Guest disagreement 0/10 Beyond Social Networking: Future Web3 Applications Dixon outlines future Web3 applications beyond social media, including game streaming and AI data marketplaces, before concluding his talk. With no host interaction throughout the segment, host scores remain zero.0:35–2:49 · The host pushing back 0/10 What We Thought Social Networking Would Be Chris Dixon delivers a solo presentation introducing the history of Web 1 and Web 2 social networking while outlining current issues like de-platforming and privacy failures. Because this is a monologue presentation without a host speaking, all host-related metrics and combativeness scores remain at zero.2:49–6:58 · The host pushing back 0/10 Problems With Ownership and Incentives Dixon compares Web 2 economic lock-in with open protocols like SMTP, answering a brief one-word question from an audience member regarding platform incentives. Host participation is non-existent during this monologue segment, keeping host scores at zero.6:58–9:38 · The host pushing back 0/10 Where Crypto Fits In: Aligning User Economics Dixon explains how crypto protocols align economic interests and solve the cold-start bootstrap problem for startup networks using token rewards. As a host-less monologue, host pushback and expertise metrics are strictly zero.9:38–12:37 · The host pushing back 0/10 Solves Governance Issues: Community Control Dixon details decentralized governance models and argues for competitive market-based content moderation over centralized company product managers. The host is not present in the dialogue, resulting in zero host scores.12:37–15:26 · The host pushing back 0/10 Beyond Social Networking: Future Web3 Applications Dixon outlines future Web3 applications beyond social media, including game streaming and AI data marketplaces, before concluding his talk. With no host interaction throughout the segment, host scores remain zero.

speaking balance: gold is the host, purple is the guest (3 minute bins)

0:00 · the host 0% · guest 100%0:00 · the host 0% · guest 100%3:00 · the host 0% · guest 100%3:00 · the host 0% · guest 100%6:00 · the host 0% · guest 100%6:00 · the host 0% · guest 100%9:00 · the host 0% · guest 100%9:00 · the host 0% · guest 100%12:00 · the host 0% · guest 100%12:00 · the host 0% · guest 100%15:00 · the host 0% · guest 100%15:00 · the host 0% · guest 100%
Sharpest disagreement ▶ 6:10 Rejection of closed platform developer ecosystems

Dixon forcefully dismisses the idea that venture capitalists would fund tools for Twitter or Facebook, explaining how centralized platforms expropriate third-party developer value.

Hardest push from the host ▶ 6:09 Audience member prompts platform breakdown

An audience member provides the episode's only direct prompt by asking 'Why?', forcing Dixon to clarify why closed networks destroy external business models.

Biggest teaching moment ▶ 2:15 Dixon dissects modern corporate security models

Dixon educates listeners on the systemic flaw of modern security by comparing it to building walls around a village's gold and hoping doors stay shut.

The host holds their own ▶ 5:30 Dixon details Postini and open protocol history

Dixon demonstrates deep venture and technical domain knowledge by detailing how Gmail's anti-spam tech originated from Postini on open email protocols.

the scores for every segment, with the reasoning behind each
ChapterTopicThe host as informed peerGuest teachingGuest disagreementThe host pushing backWhy
What We Thought Social Networking Would Be 0000 Chris Dixon delivers a solo presentation introducing the history of Web 1 and Web 2 social networking while outlining current issues like de-platforming and privacy failures. Because this is a monologue presentation without a host speaking, all host-related metrics and combativeness scores remain at zero.
Problems With Ownership and Incentives 0010 Dixon compares Web 2 economic lock-in with open protocols like SMTP, answering a brief one-word question from an audience member regarding platform incentives. Host participation is non-existent during this monologue segment, keeping host scores at zero.
Where Crypto Fits In: Aligning User Economics 0000 Dixon explains how crypto protocols align economic interests and solve the cold-start bootstrap problem for startup networks using token rewards. As a host-less monologue, host pushback and expertise metrics are strictly zero.
Solves Governance Issues: Community Control 0000 Dixon details decentralized governance models and argues for competitive market-based content moderation over centralized company product managers. The host is not present in the dialogue, resulting in zero host scores.
Beyond Social Networking: Future Web3 Applications 0000 Dixon outlines future Web3 applications beyond social media, including game streaming and AI data marketplaces, before concluding his talk. With no host interaction throughout the segment, host scores remain zero.

Statements from this episode (12)

Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dixon: Crypto will transform social networking by 2030
“This transformation will take a while, ah, we're the sort of, we're in the early stages, and so that's why I put 20, 30 in the title. But, ah, but I think all the pieces are in place, and we're on a clear path to get there over the next, next decade.”
Chris Dixon Aug 29, 2019 ▶ 0:24
Insight
Dixon: The internet is entering Web3, driven primarily by crypto
“A lot of people like me think we're now entering web three, which is primarily around sort of things like crypto.”
Chris Dixon Aug 29, 2019 ▶ 0:51
Insight
Dixon: Centralized perimeter data security models are failing
“This model that we've had for the last 20 years of sort of putting, the way I describe it as putting the gold in the village, and then building a big wall around the village, and hoping nobody leaves the door open, is basically the security model of the modern…”
Chris Dixon Aug 29, 2019 ▶ 2:25
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dixon: Venture model denies upside to early network contributors
“The model for these business models for these companies is essentially baked around, you know, advertising and transaction fees, and they're, you know, sort of traditional companies that are funded by people like us, like venture capitalists and entrepreneurs,…”
Chris Dixon Aug 29, 2019 ▶ 2:51
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dixon: AI automation will exacerbate digital platform economic inequality
“You know, I think it's very likely on the current path, these issues will get probably exacerbated. New technologies like artificial intelligence are likely to automate a lot of jobs, and I think these issues and the issues in the prior slide, you'll, I think …”
Chris Dixon Aug 29, 2019 ▶ 3:33
Prediction Held up
Dixon: VCs will not fund third-party tools for closed platforms
“You will not see any VC. We have not funded. No one will fund an anti-spam solution for Twitter or Facebook.”
Chris Dixon Aug 29, 2019 ▶ 6:05
Insight
Dixon: Crypto combines Web1 open protocols with economic incentives
“One way to think about crypto is it's like those open protocols of the first year of the web, but then it adds a whole bunch of interesting, new, very powerful features.”
Chris Dixon Aug 29, 2019 ▶ 7:01
Assertion Not checkable as stated
Dixon: Traditional payment systems cannot operationally replicate token incentive mechanisms
“You couldn't do this with a credit card or something like this. It just wouldn't, it wouldn't work operationally. It wouldn't work financially. This is a new thing that didn't exist until recently.”
Chris Dixon Aug 29, 2019 ▶ 8:08
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dixon: Token incentives will become a powerful go-to-market strategy
“This promises hopefully to be a very powerful new kind of go-to-market tool for entrepreneurs.”
Chris Dixon Aug 29, 2019 ▶ 9:33
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dixon: Crypto will reinvent Airbnb, WhatsApp, and Lyft by 2030
“Hospitality, services like Airbnb, messaging, things like WhatsApp, ride sharing, services like Lyft, you know, I think all of these, I believe we'll see over the next decade, all of these things kind of reinvented.”
Chris Dixon Aug 29, 2019 ▶ 12:36
Assertion Supported
Dixon: PewDiePie joined a crypto streaming platform for community ownership
“One of the top game streamers recently moved over to a crypto version of game streaming, precisely because this guy named PewDiePie, most popular person on YouTube because, precisely because he can be part of, for the reasons I articulated here, that he moved …”
Chris Dixon Aug 29, 2019 ▶ 13:02
Prediction Not checkable as stated
Dixon: Three or four tech giants will control all AI training data
“And it's very likely in the current trajectory that we're going to end up with three or four companies that control all this data.”
Chris Dixon Aug 29, 2019 ▶ 14:05
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